Result
3:4
14/12/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 16
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.18 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (301/351) | 84% (378/450) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.18 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.53 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (301/351) | 84% (378/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (26/43) | 52% (28/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (121/149) | 71% (89/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/31) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 3.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.75 | 1.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Haraldsson H. ⚽,
- 17', Casimir J. 🟨,
- 38', Ngoy N. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (3 - 3)
- 46', Matondo R. ↓, Mara S. ↑,
- 46', Sahraoui O. ↓, Mbemba Ch. ↑,
- 49', Akpa C. 🟨,
- 50', Mandi A. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Sinayoko L. ⚽, Danois K. (A),
- 60', Akpa C. 🟨,
- 63', Casimir J. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Mbemba Ch. (Own goal),
- 74', Meunier T. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
- 74', Haraldsson H. ↓, Correia F. ↑,
- 75', Giroud O. ↓, Diaoune S. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 2, Bentaleb N. ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 3, Diaoune S. ⚽,
- 81', Oppegard F. ↓, Mensah G. ↑,
- 82', Correia F. 🟨,
- 83', 3 - 3, Sinayoko L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 84', Mbappe E. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 4, Andre B. ⚽, Perraud R. (A),
- 88', Perraud R. 🟥,
- 88', El Azzouzi O. 🟥,
- 90', Danois K. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
- 90+3', Coulibaly L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Auxerre
23.7% | Draw
29% | Lille
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Auxerre - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.02 ↓
(4.36) |
3.29 ↓
(3.76) |
2.01 ↑
(1.78) |
4.9%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Auxerre - Lille?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 2 - 5.6%). Lille will win (votes: 26 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 57.6% – 86.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 0.
- Auxerre has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lille is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Auxerre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lille is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Owusu E.
(Injury)
Siwe T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro
(Thigh Injury)
Bouaddi A.
(Red Card)
Caillard M.
(Elbow Injury)
Igamane H.
(Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Auxerre: Coulibaly L.
(Ankle Injury)
Diomande S.
(Inactive)
Mensah G.
(Inactive)
Osman I.
(Inactive)
Senaya M.
(Injury)
Sierralta F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lille: Fernandez-Pardo M.
(Inactive)
Verdonk C.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Lille?
Auxerre has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Auxerre?
Lille has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Lille were as follows:
20.04.2025
Lille
-
Auxerre
3:1
10.01.2025
Auxerre
-
Lille
0:0
22.04.2023
Auxerre
-
Lille
1:1
Latest results of Auxerre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lens | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 28:13 | 15 | 37 |
| 2 | PSG | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35:14 | 21 | 36 |
| 3 | Marseille | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 36:15 | 21 | 32 |
| 4 | Lille | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 32 |
| 5 | Lyon | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 27 |
| 6 | Rennes | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 27:24 | 3 | 27 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 23 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 23 |
| 9 | Monaco | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 23 |
| 10 | Angers | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 22 |
| 11 | Brest | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 19 |
| 12 | Lorient | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:28 | -9 | 18 |
| 13 | Nice | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 19:29 | -10 | 17 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 15 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14:25 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 | Nantes | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 11 |
| 18 | Metz | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 17:37 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
