Result
0:1
26/04/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 31
- Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX+, FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (345/418) | 85% (418/492) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (345/418) | 85% (418/492) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (23/52) | 44% (20/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (73/106) | 75% (147/197) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Mbow M. 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Fernandez-Pardo M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lopez M. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
- 46', Munetsi M. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
- 49', Bouaddi A. 🟨,
- 63', Andre B. 🟨,
- 69', Simon M. ↓, Kebbal I. ↑,
- 69', Immobile C. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
- 72', Ikone J. 🟨,
- 74', Kebbal I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 78', Haraldsson H. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
- 83', Correia F. ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
- 84', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
- 85', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
- 85', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
- 90', Kebbal I. 🟨,
- 90+2', Camara A. ↓, Traore H. ↑,
- 90+4', Ngoy N. 🟨,
- 90+4', Gory A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paris FC
23.5% | Draw
25.8% | Lille
50.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Paris FC - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.05 ↑
(3.65) |
3.71 ↑
(3.55) |
1.89 ↓
(1.99) |
4.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Lille?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). Lille will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 39.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 38.8% – 75.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Paris FC (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Lille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lille might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S.
(Injury)
Hamel P.
(Calf Injury)
Lopez J.
(Back Injury)
Riou R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N.
(Injury)
Broholm M.
(Injury)
Caillard M.
(Elbow Injury)
Igamane H.
(Knee Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paris FC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Lille?
Paris FC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Paris FC?
Lille has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Lille were as follows:
23.11.2025
Lille
-
Paris FC
4:2
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70:27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61:33 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 58 |
| 4 | Lyon | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 48:32 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 56 |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59:44 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44:49 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | Brest | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27:46 | -19 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36:58 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29:51 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32:72 | -40 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
