Result
1:2
15/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 26
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 9', Marcelo 🟨,
- 22', van der Gaag J. 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, Butzke A. ⚽, Tejon M. (A),
- 31', 1 - 1, Ze Pedro ⚽, Fernandez P. (A),
- 36', Joao Bravim 🟨,
- 41', Bouzaidi S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 41', 1 - 2, Bouzaidi S. ⚽,
- 45', Daniel Borges 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Henrique P. 🟨,
- 57', Marcelo ↓, Rofino V. G. ↑,
- 57', Pires M. ↓, Kouassi E. ↑,
- 66', Rofino V. G. 🟨,
- 73', Madsen N. 🟨,
- 79', Daniel Borges ↓, Martins D. ↑,
- 79', van der Gaag J. ↓, Santos J. ↑,
- 82', Tejon M. ↓, Gomes Aguiar F. T. ↑,
- 82', Carlos Daniel ↓, Xavi Grande ↑,
- 88', Ze Pedro ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
- 90', Henrique P. ↓, Freitas A. ↑,
- 90', Butzke A. ↓, Borukov P. ↑,
- 90+2', Maga 🟨,
- 90+3', Igor Juliao ↓, Santos Junior E. A. ↑,
- 90+4', Samu 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leiria
32% | Draw
29.7% | Marítimo
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Leiria - Marítimo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↓
(3.08) |
3.1 ↓
(3.12) |
2.44 ↑
(2.29) |
7.5%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leiria - Marítimo?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Marítimo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Marítimo (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Marítimo (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Marítimo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 3.
- Leiria is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Marítimo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Marítimo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Marítimo?
Leiria has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Leiria?
Marítimo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Marítimo were as follows:
30.10.2025
Marítimo
-
Leiria
1:3
22.02.2025
Marítimo
-
Leiria
1:2
29.09.2024
Leiria
-
Marítimo
1:1
16.03.2024
Marítimo
-
Leiria
2:0
10.01.2024
Marítimo
-
Leiria
0:3
Latest results of Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 37:30 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | Leiria | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Feirense | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 8 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 9 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Chaves | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 38 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 35 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
