Result
2:4
21/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 23
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Michel D. ⚽, Silva J. (A),
- 45+2', Pires M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 54', Santos V. ↓, Martelo P. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Bura ⚽, Silva J. (A),
- 60', 1 - 2, Maga ⚽, van der Gaag J. (A),
- 66', Michel D. ↓, Jair da Silva ↑,
- 66', Gomes B. ↓, Martins D. ↑,
- 69', Martins D. 🟨,
- 77', Joao Adriano ↓, Joanderson ↑,
- 77', Bruno Silva ↓, Nagata K. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 2, Martelo P. ⚽, Brito T. (A),
- 80', van der Gaag J. ↓, Sylla H. ↑,
- 80', Pires M. ↓, Kouassi E. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 3, Munoz J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 89', Brito T. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
- 89', Lopes A. ↓, Bastos L. ↑,
- 89', Silva J. ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 4, Munoz J. ⚽, Fernandez P. (A),
Chances of winning
Oliveirense
28.3% | Draw
28.5% | Leiria
43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-5%)
Oliveirense - Leiria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(3.02) |
3.24 ↑
(3.14) |
2.16 ↓
(2.29) |
7.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oliveirense - Leiria?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Oliveirense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Leiria will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Leiria could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oliveirense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Oliveirense won against Leiria?
Oliveirense has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Oliveirense?
Leiria has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oliveirense - Leiria were as follows:
11.10.2025
Leiria
-
Oliveirense
0:0
02.05.2025
Leiria
-
Oliveirense
5:0
22.12.2024
Oliveirense
-
Leiria
1:2
08.03.2024
Leiria
-
Oliveirense
1:0
29.10.2023
Oliveirense
-
Leiria
1:4
Latest results of Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 37:30 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | Leiria | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 50:40 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Feirense | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 42 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Chaves | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36:34 | 2 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 38 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 35 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 33 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
