Result
3:4
26/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Santander Aguirre L. E. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (228/302) | 83% (350/423) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (228/302) | 83% (350/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (24/58) | 44% (24/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (55/84) | 64% (83/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 16% (5/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 38% (3/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.39 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | -1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Perez S. 🟨,
- 43', Calderon C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 4)
- 46', Juanpe ↓, Guillen D. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 0, Joao Pedro Galvao ⚽, Rodrigo Dourado (A),
- 57', 1 - 1, Aguila E. (Own goal),
- 59', 1 - 2, Badaloni T. ⚽,
- 62', 2 - 2, Joao Pedro Galvao ⚽, Salles-Lamonge S. (A),
- 67', Perez S. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 2, Salles-Lamonge S. ⚽, Sanabria J. (A),
- 70', Badaloni T. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 71', Lara E. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
- 71', Rodrigo Dourado 🟨,
- 74', 3 - 3, Rosero K. ⚽,
- 80', Guillen D. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
- 84', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
- 87', Calderon C. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 4, Cambindo D. ⚽, Rosero K. (A),
- 90+6', Aguila E. ↓, Tepa ↑,
- 90+6', Rossano F. ↓, Jesus Alcantar ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético San Luis
41.9% | Draw
26% | Necaxa
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Atlético San Luis - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.38) |
3.66 ↓
(3.85) |
2.9 ↑
(2.5) |
5.1%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atlético San Luis - Necaxa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético San Luis (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Atlético San Luis will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 2.
- Atlético San Luis has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Necaxa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Macias O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Necaxa: Badaloni T.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:33. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético San Luis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Necaxa?
Atlético San Luis has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Atlético San Luis?
Necaxa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético San Luis - Necaxa were as follows:
24.01.2025
Atlético San Luis
-
Necaxa
0:3
06.11.2024
Necaxa
-
Atlético San Luis
1:1
08.03.2024
Necaxa
-
Atlético San Luis
3:1
22.10.2023
Atlético San Luis
-
Necaxa
4:0
06.01.2023
Necaxa
-
Atlético San Luis
2:3
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 41:18 | 23 | 33 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 |
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 2 | 22 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 9 | Juarez | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Atlas | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Necaxa | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 19:30 | -11 | 13 |
| 17 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 18 | Puebla | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:38 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
