Result
0:1
17/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Claro Sports, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (356/437) | 76% (234/308) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (356/437) | 76% (234/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (46/72) | 48% (29/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (96/135) | 53% (38/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 46% (11/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', Aguirre G. 🟨,
- 37', Ramirez P. 🟥,
- 41', Carranza J. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Aguirre G. (A),
- 45+1', Carranza J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Calderon C. ↓, Almendra A. E. ↑,
- 46', Leyva D. ↓, Badaloni T. ↑,
- 46', Oliveros A. ↓, Mendez F. ↑,
- 56', Garcia M. E. ↓, Rios De Alba V. H. ↑,
- 62', Rios De Alba V. H. 🟨,
- 67', Gustavo Ferrareis ↓, Zaldivar E. ↑,
- 74', Gutierrez K. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 74', Djurdjevic U. 🟨,
- 81', Gonzalez A. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
- 84', Lara E. ↓, Rossano F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Necaxa
50.9% | Draw
26.1% | Atlas
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Necaxa's form might have worsened.Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Necaxa - Atlas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.6) |
3.59 ↓
(4.07) |
4.07 ↓
(4.67) |
6.8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Necaxa - Atlas?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Necaxa will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Necaxa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Necaxa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Atlas has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Necaxa is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Atlas: Ortega E.
(Suspended)
Serrato J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez D.
(Injury)
Lozano J.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Atlas?
Necaxa has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Necaxa?
Atlas has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Atlas were as follows:
30.12.2025
Atlas
-
Necaxa
5:3
27.09.2025
Atlas
-
Necaxa
3:2
18.02.2025
Atlas
-
Necaxa
0:4
10.11.2024
Necaxa
-
Atlas
0:0
14.01.2024
Necaxa
-
Atlas
2:1
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
