Termalica Nieciecza vs Polonia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
14/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 28
  • Referee: Stefanski D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
74
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Total shots
177
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
30
Corner Kicks
74
Offsides
00
Fouls
1914
Goalkeeper Saves
08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Kasperkiewicz A. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Szur P. , Hoxhallari E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', 0 - 2, Zjawinski L. ,
  • 52', Trubeha A. , Karasek K. ,
  • 69', Wojciechowski O. , Predenkiewicz M. ,
  • 69', Vega D. , Bajdur M. ,
  • 71', 0 - 3, Bajdur M. , Durmus I. (A),
  • 72', Strzalek I. , Biniek D. ,
  • 72', Spendlhofer L. , Kubica K. ,
  • 72', Hilbrycht D. , Wrobel J. ,
  • 79', Poczobut B. 🟨,
  • 80', Zjawinski L. , Spiewak K. ,
  • 80', Durmus I. , Olszewski P. ,
  • 89', Kolodziejski M. , Cisse S. ,
  • 90+2', Kasperkiewicz A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Termalica Nieciecza
47.9%
Draw
26.8%
Polonia Warsaw
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 24.8% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 26.4% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Termalica Nieciecza's form might have worsened.
  • Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Termalica Nieciecza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Termalica Nieciecza - Polonia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.75)
    3.44
    (3.75)
    3.66
    (4.23)
    8.2%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Polonia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Polonia will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Termalica is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Polonia in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Termalica is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Termalica won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Termalica won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Polonia Warsaw were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Polonia Warsaw - Termalica Nieciecza 0:1
    05.05.2024 Termalica Nieciecza - Polonia Warsaw 2:2
    04.11.2023 Polonia Warsaw - Termalica Nieciecza 1:1
    Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla311711367:323562
    2Slask Wroclaw31169664:442057
    3Wieczysta Krakow31158864:442053
    4Chrobry Glogow311561044:311351
    5LKS Lodz30138948:42647
    6Ruch Chorzow311211846:42447
    7Polonia Warszawa311381048:46247
    8Legnica311371148:50-246
    9Puszcza311112842:37545
    10Polonia Bytom311281150:42844
    11Grodzisk M301110948:48043
    12S. Rzeszow311161443:51-839
    13Odra Opole319111128:37-938
    14Pogon Siedlce31991331:36-536
    15Stal Mielec31851843:59-1629
    16Leczna315121437:55-1827
    17Pruszkow31671834:59-2525
    18Tychy31562037:67-3021

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2