Result
1:3
19/04/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 29
- Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (404/479) | 84% (309/370) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 2.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (404/479) | 84% (309/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (18/39) | 55% (32/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (100/143) | 71% (75/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 48% (14/29) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 33% (3/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.39 | 1.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | 0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 4', Guerrero S. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Nowak W. ⚽, Kun D. (A),
- 39', 0 - 2, Rogelj Z. ⚽, Pacheco D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 3, Niarchos G. ⚽, Gallapeni D. (A),
- 57', Putivtsev A. ↓, Kasperkiewicz A. ↑,
- 57', Fassbender M. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
- 57', Jimenez J. ↓, Durdov I. ↑,
- 61', Gallapeni D. ↓, Lecoeuche Q. ↑,
- 61', Kun D. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
- 67', Guerrero S. ↓, Biniek D. ↑,
- 69', Niarchos G. ↓, Sarapata D. ↑,
- 69', Savvidis K. ↓, Tavares T. ↑,
- 80', Biniek D. 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 3, Zapolnik K. ⚽, Hilbrycht D. (A),
- 90+2', Pacheco D. ↓, Bokhno M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Termalica Nieciecza
35.2% | Draw
27.3% | Wisła Płock
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Płock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↑
(2.54) |
3.43 ↑
(3.21) |
2.48 ↑
(2.35) |
7.2%
(13.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Płock?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 29% – 96%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 1.
- Termalica has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wisła Płock's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Termalica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Termalica: Kopacz B.
(Inactive)
Kurzawa R.
(Inactive)
Wolski M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Wisła Płock: Karamarko M.
(Knee Injury)
Salvador I.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Wisła Płock?
Termalica Nieciecza has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wisła Płock won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Wisła Płock has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Płock were as follows:
20.10.2025
Wisła Płock
-
Termalica Nieciecza
3:1
10.03.2025
Wisła Płock
-
Termalica Nieciecza
3:0
21.08.2024
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Wisła Płock
4:2
02.03.2024
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Wisła Płock
2:2
19.08.2023
Wisła Płock
-
Termalica Nieciecza
3:1
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Latest results of Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 55:41 | 14 | 52 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 32:28 | 4 | 45 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 43:41 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 44 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 39:45 | -6 | 39 |
| 10 | Piast Gliwice | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 40:45 | -5 | 38 |
| 15 | Legia | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 34:36 | -2 | 37 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 36:37 | -1 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
