Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Ghillani A. ⚽,
- 35', Pogliano C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pogliano C. ↓, Motolese M. ↑,
- 55', Ferri D. ↓, Frosali J. ↑,
- 61', Ghillani A. ↓, Malotti M. ↑,
- 61', Ferro M. ↓, Colangiuli V. ↑,
- 69', Sassaro A. 🟨,
- 70', Udoh K. ↓, Orfei A. ↑,
- 71', Caccavo L. ↓, Anatriello G. ↑,
- 72', Iori M. ↓, Motta M. ↑,
- 79', Felicioli G. ↓, Giudici L. ↑,
- 79', Sassaro A. ↓, Mastroianni F. ↑,
- 79', Colangiuli V. ↓, Gallea F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lumezzane
52.6% | Draw
27.5% | Pro Patria
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lumezzane, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Lumezzane - Pro Patria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.64) |
3.33 ↓
(3.35) |
4.62 ↓
(5.28) |
9.1%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 1.
- In recent matches, Lumezzane has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pro Patria has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Lumezzane is the team to beat.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lumezzane won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lumezzane won against Pro Patria?
Lumezzane has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pro Patria won against Lumezzane?
Pro Patria has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lumezzane - Pro Patria were as follows:
08.11.2025
Pro Patria
-
Lumezzane
1:1
18.04.2025
Pro Patria
-
Lumezzane
4:1
07.12.2024
Lumezzane
-
Pro Patria
1:1
09.03.2024
Lumezzane
-
Pro Patria
0:2
03.11.2023
Pro Patria
-
Lumezzane
0:2
Latest results of Lumezzane
Latest results of Pro Patria
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza ✔ | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 59:21 | 38 | 81 |
| 2 | Brescia | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 43:21 | 22 | 59 |
| 3 | Lecco | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 40:27 | 13 | 57 |
| 4 | Trento | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 50:36 | 14 | 55 |
| 5 | Cittadella | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 40:35 | 5 | 53 |
| 6 | Renate | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 43:31 | 12 | 53 |
| 7 | Alcione Milano | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 31:22 | 9 | 50 |
| 8 | Lumezzane | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 35:34 | 1 | 45 |
| 9 | Giana Erminio | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 45 |
| 10 | Novara | 33 | 8 | 20 | 5 | 35:29 | 6 | 44 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 43:43 | 0 | 43 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 42 |
| 13 | Pro Vercelli | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 42 |
| 14 | Arzignano | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 41:45 | -4 | 40 |
| 15 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 38 |
| 16 | Ospitaletto | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 17 | Pergolettese | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 30:44 | -14 | 33 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 33 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 30:50 | -20 | 22 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 33 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25:60 | -35 | 19 |
| 20 | Triestina ✔ | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
L.R. Vicenza is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
Triestina is Relegated to
