Potenza vs Catania – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group C - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
515
Shots on target
28
Corner Kicks
36
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
10
Total shots
515
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
37
Corner Kicks
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Forte F. ,
  • 13', 1 - 1, Bruschi N. ,
  • 19', Bruschi N. 🟥,
  • 25', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
  • 37', Celli A. 🟨,
  • 43', Maisto F. , De Marco A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', D'Ausilio M. , Rolfini A. ,
  • 46', Di Tacchio F. , Corbari A. ,
  • 46', Mazzeo L. , Selleri G. ,
  • 46', Di Gennaro M. 🟨,
  • 61', Allegretto A. , Pieraccini S. ,
  • 61', Jimenez K. , Donnarumma D. ,
  • 67', Forte F. , Caturano S. ,
  • 75', Cucchietti T. 🟨,
  • 81', Novella M. , Balzano M. ,
  • 90+1', Lucas Martello , Petrungaro L. ,
  • 90+6', Selleri G. 🟨,
  • 90+10', De Marco A. 🟨,
  • 90+15', Pieraccini S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Potenza
19%
Draw
27.2%
Catania
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.4% 26.9% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 26.5% 45.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Potenza's form might have worsened.
  • Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Catania's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Potenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catania, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Potenza - Catania Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.84
    (3.24)
    3.38
    (3.42)
    1.71
    (2.06)
    8.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Potenza - Catania?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Catania (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Catania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Catania is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Potenza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Potenza - Catania were as follows:
    07.05.2025 Catania - Potenza 1:0
    27.04.2025 Potenza - Catania 1:2
    14.12.2024 Catania - Potenza 0:2
    10.03.2024 Catania - Potenza 0:0
    05.11.2023 Potenza - Catania 1:0
    Latest results of Potenza
    10.12.2025 Potenza - Crotone 3:1
    06.12.2025 Sorrento - Potenza 2:2
    30.11.2025 Potenza - Casarano 3:1
    26.11.2025 Potenza - Audace Cerignola 4:2
    23.11.2025 Salernitana - Potenza 1:1
    Latest results of Catania
    05.12.2025 Catania - Crotone 2:0
    29.11.2025 Picerno - Catania 0:1
    23.11.2025 Catania - Latina 1:0
    15.11.2025 Casarano - Catania 1:0
    09.11.2025 Catania - Altamura 2:0
    Italian Serie C Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Benevento32244468:214776
    2Catania321810449:183164
    3Cosenza33178853:351859
    4Salernitana32169739:32757
    5Casertana33168947:40756
    6Crotone331571150:321852
    7Audace Cerignola331491044:43151
    8Monopoli321381133:35-247
    9Casarano321271344:52-843
    10Potenza3310111242:49-741
    11Altamura3210101228:39-1140
    12Atalanta U23331081545:44138
    13Cavese338121332:38-636
    14Latina338111426:38-1235
    15Sorrento338101536:49-1334
    16Picerno337111537:51-1432
    17Giugliano33871831:47-1631
    18Trapani331381243:47-427
    19Siracusa33961841:49-827
    20Foggia33582025:54-2923

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation