Result
1:4
05/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 2.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (362/421) | 88% (507/576) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 2.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 3.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (362/421) | 88% (507/576) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (14/29) | 70% (37/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (56/77) | 69% (71/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.71 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 1 - 0, Owusu P. ⚽,
- 33', 1 - 1, Allende T. ⚽, Messi L. (A),
- 40', 1 - 2, Messi L. ⚽, Suarez L. (A), Aviles T. (A2)
- 45+2', Alvarez F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Piette S. ↓, Campbell G. ↑,
- 54', Busquets S. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 3, Segovia T. ⚽, Allende T. (A),
- 62', 1 - 4, Messi L. ⚽, Suarez L. (A),
- 69', Sealy D. ↓, Duke B. ↑,
- 69', Pearce T. ↓, Guboglo Y. ↑,
- 72', Aviles T. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
- 72', Cremaschi B. ↓, Redondo Solari F. ↑,
- 72', Segovia T. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
- 80', Clark C. ↓, Synchuk G. ↑,
- 83', Allende T. ↓, Picault F. ↑,
- 85', Owusu P. ↓, Ibrahim S. ↑,
- 87', Falcon M. ↓, Sailor R. ↑,
- 88', Martinez D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
CF Montréal
29% | Draw
23.4% | Inter Miami
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Miami's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
CF Montréal - Inter Miami Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(2.91) |
4.04 ↑
(3.87) |
2.02 ↓
(2.26) |
5%
(4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Inter Miami?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Montreal (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Inter Miami (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
Users Predictions:
Inter Miami will win
(15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Inter Miami might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Montreal: Herbers F.
(Thigh Injury)
Neal J.
(Injury)
Waterman J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Inter Miami: Bright Y.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lujan G.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Montreal: Clark C.
(Injury)
Synchuk G.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Inter Miami: Allen N.
(Injury)
Fray I.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has CF Montréal won against Inter Miami?
CF Montréal has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Miami won against CF Montréal?
Inter Miami has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Inter Miami were as follows:
28.05.2025
Inter Miami
-
CF Montréal
4:2
11.05.2024
CF Montréal
-
Inter Miami
2:3
10.03.2024
Inter Miami
-
CF Montréal
2:3
27.05.2023
CF Montréal
-
Inter Miami
1:0
25.02.2023
Inter Miami
-
CF Montréal
2:0
Latest results of CF Montréal
Latest results of Inter Miami
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 47:32 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 39:26 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:33 | 4 | 37 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 39:27 | 12 | 36 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 34 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
| 8 | Austin FC | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 29 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 24:29 | -5 | 28 |
| 11 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 |
| 12 | FC Dallas | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32:41 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 24 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Cincinnati | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 48 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 47 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 47 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 5 | Inter Miami | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 49:34 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 43:32 | 11 | 38 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 41:39 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | New York City | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 35 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:35 | 4 | 33 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 32 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:30 | -5 | 21 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 27:43 | -16 | 20 |
| 14 | DC United | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:45 | -25 | 19 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 20:45 | -25 | 15 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
