North Texas vs Sporting Kansas City II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
14/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.250.88
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
83% (317/380)83% (324/389)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
2.250.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.461.41
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
87
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
2824
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
83% (317/380)83% (324/389)
Long passes
43% (23/53)41% (18/44)
Passes in final third
71% (79/112)77% (105/137)
Crosses
9% (2/23)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.001.06
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
1115
Tackles
80% (12/15)67% (14/21)
Duels won
4845
Clearances
1722
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.411.46
Goals prevented
0.410.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Torquato J. 🟨,
  • 31', Alvaro Augusto 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Uderitz H. , Clarke N. ,
  • 57', Arellano B. , Alexandre M. ,
  • 57', Tschantret M. , Donovan S. ,
  • 59', Swann C. 🟨,
  • 65', Uderitz B. 🟨,
  • 72', Derksen C. , Ortiz J. ,
  • 72', Molina M. , DuBois J. ,
  • 73', Garcia D. , Contreras J. ,
  • 76', Uderitz B. , Wantland Z. ,
  • 81', Sangare F. , Salazar C. ,
  • 82', 1 - 0, Contreras J. , Sarver S. (A),
  • 89', 1 - 1, Lurot P. , Ortiz J. (A),
  • 90+2', Kortkamp J. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Sarver S. 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, Sarver S. (Pen),
  • 1, Mabie B. (Pen),
  • 2, Urzua A. (Pen),
  • 2, Ortiz J. (Pen),
  • 3, Salazar C. (Pen),
  • 3, Donovan S. (Pen),
  • 4, Swann C. (Pen),
  • 4, Samways A. (Pen),
  • 5, Contreras J. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


North Texas
65.4%
Draw
18.2%
Sporting Kansas City II
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.4% 18% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4% 17% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Texas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Sporting Kansas City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Texas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.31)
    5.08
    (5.05)
    5.61
    (7.25)
    8.5%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 4.
    • North Texas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sporting KC II has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, North Texas is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 2.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Texas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II were as follows:
    18.07.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas 1:4
    28.03.2025 North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II 3:4
    29.09.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas 1:2
    10.08.2024 North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II 2:0
    05.05.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas 0:2
    Latest results of North Texas
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    2Connecticut FC110003:13
    3Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    4New England Revolution II101001:12
    5New York City II000000:00
    6Toronto FC II100010:10
    7Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    8Cincinnati 2100011:30


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2Huntsville110003:13
    3Chicago Fire II101001:12
    4Atlanta United 2100101:11
    5Inter Miami II100101:11
    6Carolina Core000000:00
    7Orlando City B100011:30
    8Chattanooga100011:40


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County110004:23
    2Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    3Real Monarchs101002:22
    4Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    5Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    6San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Minnesota 2110004:23
    3Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    4North Texas100102:21
    5Austin FC II100012:40
    6Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    7Sporting Kansas City II100010:40


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    3Huntsville110003:13
    4Connecticut FC110003:13
    5Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    6Chicago Fire II101001:12
    7New England Revolution II101001:12
    8Atlanta United 2100101:11
    9Inter Miami II100101:11
    10New York City II000000:00
    11Carolina Core000000:00
    12Toronto FC II100010:10
    13Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    14Orlando City B100011:30
    15Cincinnati 2100011:30
    16Chattanooga100011:40


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Ventura County110004:23
    3Minnesota 2110004:23
    4Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    5Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    6Real Monarchs101002:22
    7Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    8Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    9North Texas100102:21
    10San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40
    12Austin FC II100012:40
    13Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    14Sporting Kansas City II100010:40

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