Result
1:1
25/02/2023 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HONDURAS: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 9
Chances of winning
Motagua
67.7% | Draw
21.2% | Honduras Progreso
11.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motagua's performance.Honduras Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Honduras Progreso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-31.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motagua that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honduras Progreso than the current prediction. (+15%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Honduras Progreso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Motagua - Honduras Progreso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.63) |
4.35 ↑
(3.28) |
8.32 ↑
(5.4) |
8.4%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Motagua - Honduras Progreso?
Users Predictions:
Motagua will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Motagua won 4.
- Recent matches Motagua is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Honduras Progreso has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Motagua is indisputable favorite.
- Last 38 head-to-head matches Motagua won 28 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 87-34.
- Including matches at home between the teams Motagua won 16 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 53-14.
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Honduras Progreso?
Motagua has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Honduras Progreso won against Motagua?
Honduras Progreso has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motagua - Honduras Progreso were as follows:
18.09.2022
Honduras Progreso
-
Motagua
0:1
Latest results of Motagua
Latest results of Honduras Progreso
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marathon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17:5 | 12 | 14 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 14 |
| 3 | Platense | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:6 | 8 | 12 |
| 4 | Olancho | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Juticalpa | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 6 | Real Espana | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | UPNFM | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Motagua | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Genesis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 10 | Choloma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:19 | -11 | 4 |
| 11 | Victoria | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0:14 | -14 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
