Olancho vs Motagua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
23/04/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hondurasHondurasDeportes TV

Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
32
Corner kicks
75
Yellow cards
11
Red cards
10
Total shots
711
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
49
Corner kicks
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Argueta C. 🟨,
  • 33', Melendez C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Argueta C. 🟥,
  • 57', Gomez H. , Murillo D. ,
  • 57', Melendez C. , Santamaria L. ,
  • 68', Melendez D. , Gomez R. ,
  • 68', Lopez K. , Ramirez Arauz M. R. ,
  • 70', Zuniga Bernardez C. J. , Sanchez J. ,
  • 71', Serrano J. , Macias J. ,
  • 79', Romario , Mejia C. ,
  • 79', De Olivera R. , John Kleber ,
  • 84', Rodriguez D. , Elvir O. ,
  • 84', Mejia Y. , Cabrera Y. A. ,

Chances of winning


Olancho
39.4%
Draw
29.5%
Motagua
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 26.5% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 26% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Motagua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Motagua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Olancho - Motagua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.48)
    3.11
    (3.4)
    2.95
    (2.44)
    9%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
    • Motagua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 2.
    • Olancho is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Motagua's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Olancho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Olancho won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olancho - Motagua were as follows:
    01.03.2026 Motagua - Olancho 1:1
    20.11.2025 Motagua - Olancho 3:2
    09.08.2025 Olancho - Motagua 3:1
    12.03.2025 Motagua - Olancho 1:0
    25.01.2025 Olancho - Motagua 2:1
    Latest results of Olancho
    12.04.2026 CD Marathón - Olancho 0:2
    09.04.2026 Juticalpa - Olancho 0:4
    04.04.2026 Olancho - Choloma 3:1
    23.03.2026 Lobos UPNFM - Olancho 2:1
    Latest results of Motagua
    19.04.2026 Motagua - Juticalpa 2:1
    09.04.2026 CD Marathón - Motagua 1:0
    05.04.2026 Motagua - Génesis PN 3:1
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    Clausura - Triangulares

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Marathon11001:013
    2Olimpia00000:000
    3Real Espana10010:1-10


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Motagua10101:101
    2Genesis10101:101
    3Olancho00000:000

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