Result
0:0
23/04/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Argueta C. 🟨,
- 33', Melendez C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Argueta C. 🟥,
- 57', Gomez H. ↓, Murillo D. ↑,
- 57', Melendez C. ↓, Santamaria L. ↑,
- 68', Melendez D. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
- 68', Lopez K. ↓, Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↑,
- 70', Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
- 71', Serrano J. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
- 79', Romario ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
- 79', De Olivera R. ↓, John Kleber ↑,
- 84', Rodriguez D. ↓, Elvir O. ↑,
- 84', Mejia Y. ↓, Cabrera Y. A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Olancho 39.4% | Draw 29.5% | Motagua 31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Motagua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Motagua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Olancho - Motagua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.33 ↓ (2.48) |
3.11 ↓ (3.4) |
2.95 ↑ (2.44) |
9% (10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- Motagua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 2.
- Olancho is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Motagua's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Olancho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Olancho won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Olancho won against Motagua?
Olancho has won 5 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Olancho?
Motagua has won 7 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olancho - Motagua were as follows:
01.03.2026
Motagua
-
Olancho
1:1
20.11.2025
Motagua
-
Olancho
3:2
09.08.2025
Olancho
-
Motagua
3:1
12.03.2025
Motagua
-
Olancho
1:0
25.01.2025
Olancho
-
Motagua
2:1
Latest results of Olancho
Latest results of Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura - TriangularesGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marathon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Motagua | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Genesis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Olancho | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Final)