Spartak Varna vs Krumovgrad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Parva liga - Round 29
  • Referee: Stalev D. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
109
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
34
Corner Kicks
63
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
916
Fouls
910
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Vutov A. ,
  • 34', Granchov A. , Tsvetkov A. ,
  • 45', Granchov A. 🟨,
  • 45+7', Baurenski Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Sy S. 🟨,
  • 61', Sy S. , Cova A. ,
  • 68', Cova A. 🟨,
  • 68', Mitev V. 🟨,
  • 75', Mitkov D. , Lozev D. ,
  • 75', Berna , Xande ,
  • 77', Isuf A. , Keita I. ,
  • 78', Veiga T. , Sellouf A. ,
  • 85', Mitev V. , Konate P. ,
  • 85', Ivey R. , Ilic C. ,
  • 90+2', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Vutov A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Spartak Varna
59.8%
Draw
24.9%
Krumovgrad
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 26.8% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 26.3% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Varna's performance.
  • Krumovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Varna that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Spartak Varna - Krumovgrad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.76)
    3.71
    (3.47)
    6.08
    (4.6)
    7.4%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Spartak Varna - Krumovgrad?
  • Users Predictions: Spartak Varna will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Spartak Varna will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: )).
    • Krumovgrad is Parva liga (Relegation Group )
    • Spartak Varna is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Krumovgrad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Spartak Varna is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Krumovgrad: Tartov G. (Yellow Cards) Tsvetanov M. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Spartak Varna: Johnson K. (Injury) Nachev D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Krumovgrad: Lucas Santana (Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Spartak Varna won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Spartak Varna won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Varna - Krumovgrad were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Krumovgrad - Spartak Varna 0:1
    01.11.2023 Spartak Varna - Krumovgrad 1:0
    Latest results of Spartak Varna
    Latest results of Krumovgrad
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia22172352:143853
    2Ludogorets22127341:172443
    3CSKA Sofia22117433:171640
    4CSKA 1948 Sofia22124633:25840
    5Cherno More2299426:151136
    6Lok. Plovdiv22810424:24034
    7Slavia Sofia2277824:26-228
    8Arda2277823:23028
    9Botev Vratsa2269716:19-327
    10Lok. Sofia2169624:23127
    11Botev Plovdiv22741127:33-625
    12Spartak Varna22311821:33-1220
    13Dobrudzha22541317:29-1219
    14Beroe22391017:34-1718
    15Septemvri Sofia21531320:44-2418
    16Montana22361314:36-2215

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