Result
16/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Septemvri Sofia
47.9% | Draw
27.8% | Spartak Varna
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.09) |
3.32 ↑
(3.23) |
3.82 ↑
(3.37) |
7.8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion Dragalevtsi.
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
- Septemvri Sofia is efbet League (Relegation Group )
- Spartak Varna is efbet League (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 2.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Septemvri Sofia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Septemvri Sofia won against Spartak Varna?
Septemvri Sofia has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Varna won against Septemvri Sofia?
Spartak Varna has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna were as follows:
07.11.2025
Spartak Varna
-
Septemvri Sofia
1:4
16.03.2025
Spartak Varna
-
Septemvri Sofia
4:2
30.09.2024
Septemvri Sofia
-
Spartak Varna
0:1
05.04.2024
Septemvri Sofia
-
Spartak Varna
0:2
24.09.2023
Spartak Varna
-
Septemvri Sofia
1:2
Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
Latest results of Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia ✔ | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 64:22 | 42 | 70 |
| 2 | Ludogorets ✔ | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 57:19 | 38 | 60 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia ✔ | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:23 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia ✔ | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 46:31 | 15 | 56 |
| 5 | Lok. Plovdiv ✔ | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 46 |
| 6 | Cherno More ✔ | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 33:22 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Arda ✔ | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32:27 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Lok. Sofia | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 37 |
| 10 | Botev Plovdiv | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Botev Vratsa ✔ | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 21:24 | -3 | 35 |
| 12 | Dobrudzha ✔ | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:40 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Spartak Varna ✔ | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 25:50 | -25 | 26 |
| 14 | Septemvri Sofia ✔ | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 25:58 | -33 | 25 |
| 15 | Beroe ✔ | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 23 |
| 16 | Montana ✔ | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 15:45 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Ludogorets is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
CSKA Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
CSKA 1948 Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Lok. Plovdiv is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )
Cherno More is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )
Arda is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )
Botev Vratsa is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Dobrudzha is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Spartak Varna is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Septemvri Sofia is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )
