Result
0:0
16/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 30
- Referee: Dimitrov D. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Jota Lopes 🟨,
- 24', Granchov A. 🟨,
- 40', Onasci K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Hamdiji W. 🟨,
- 58', Ivanov G. ↓, Georgiev P. ↑,
- 58', Hamdiji W. ↓, Baurenski Y. ↑,
- 63', Stamatov M. ↓, Wade S. ↑,
- 69', Marinov T. ↓, John E. ↑,
- 76', Stojanovic S. ↓, Herard F. ↑,
- 81', Wade S. 🟨,
- 86', Chunchukov T. ↓, Juric-Petrasilo M. ↑,
- 86', Jota Lopes ↓, Prindzhev P. ↑,
- 90+2', Xande ↓, Moukachar S. ↑,
- 90+3', John E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Septemvri Sofia
53.5% | Draw
26.9% | Spartak Varna
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Septemvri Sofia's performance.Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Varna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Septemvri Sofia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Varna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(2.09) |
3.43 ↑
(3.23) |
4.68 ↑
(3.37) |
7.5%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Spartak Varna will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Septemvri Sofia: 29% – 96%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Spartak Varna (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak Varna (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion Dragalevtsi.
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
- Septemvri Sofia is efbet League (Relegation Group )
- Spartak Varna is efbet League (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 2.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- In this match, Septemvri Sofia is a strong favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Septemvri Sofia won against Spartak Varna?
Septemvri Sofia has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Varna won against Septemvri Sofia?
Spartak Varna has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna were as follows:
07.11.2025
Spartak Varna
-
Septemvri Sofia
1:4
16.03.2025
Spartak Varna
-
Septemvri Sofia
4:2
30.09.2024
Septemvri Sofia
-
Spartak Varna
0:1
05.04.2024
Septemvri Sofia
-
Spartak Varna
0:2
24.09.2023
Spartak Varna
-
Septemvri Sofia
1:2
Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
Latest results of Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia ✔ | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 68:23 | 45 | 76 |
| 2 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 52:33 | 19 | 62 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 58:23 | 35 | 60 |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 45:26 | 19 | 59 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Levski Sofia is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
