Result
13/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - Final
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Chances of winning
Jannik Sinner
50.2% | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
49.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jannik Sinner than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jannik Sinner that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlos Alcaraz Garfia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(2.06) |
|
1.93 ↑
(1.76) |
3.9%
(5.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?
Users Predictions:
55 users predict this event. Sinner will win (votes: 28 - 50.9%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 27 - 49.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sinner: 37.7% – 64.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Sinner (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- H/A, 1st Set - Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH +1 Games - Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH 0 Games - Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH -0.5 Games - Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.
Preview Facts
- Sinner is ranked ATP: 1. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 1.
- Both players have triumphed in their latest matches.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Jannik Sinner won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?
Jannik Sinner has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Jannik Sinner?
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia were as follows:
08.06.2025
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
2:3
18.05.2025
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
0:2
19.10.2024
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
2:1
02.10.2024
Jannik Sinner
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
1:2
07.06.2024
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
-
Jannik Sinner
3:2
Latest results of Jannik Sinner
Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Nardi L. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Tseng C. H. | Vukic A. | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Martinez P. | Loffhagen G. (WC) | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Navone M. | Shapovalov D. (27) | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Dimitrov G. (19) | Nishioka Y. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Comesana F. | Moutet C. | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | Ofner S. | Medjedovic H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Monday J. (WC) | Paul T. (13) | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Shelton B. (10) | Bolt A. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Hijikata R. | Goffin D. | 3 : 0 |
| 11 | Kovacevic A. | Fucsovics M. (LL) | 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Monfils G. | Humbert U. (18) | 3 : 2 |
| 13 | Nakashima B. (29) | Bu Y. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Shevchenko A. | Opelka R. | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Faria J. (Q) | Sonego L. | 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Musetti L. (7) | 3 : 1 |
| 17 | Draper J. (4) | Baez S. (RET.) | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Collignon R. | Cilic M. | 0 : 3 |
| 19 | McCabe J. (Q) | Marozsan F. | 0 : 3 |
| 20 | Munar J. | Bublik A. (28) | 3 : 2 |
| 21 | Cobolli F. (22) | Zhukayev B. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Etcheverry T. M. | Pinnington Jones J. (WC) | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Giron M. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 3 : 0 |
| 24 | Gaston H. | Mensik J. (15) | 1 : 3 |
| 25 | De Minaur A. (11) | Carballes Baena R. | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Cazaux A. (Q) | Walton A. | 3 : 2 |
| 27 | Halys Q. | Holmgren A. (Q) | 0 : 3 |
| 28 | Dzumhur D. | Machac T. (21) | 0 : 3 |
| 29 | Michelsen A. (30) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 3 |
| 30 | De Jong J. | Eubanks C. | 3 : 2 |
| 31 | Evans D. (WC) | Clarke J. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 32 | Muller A. | Djokovic N. (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 33 | Fritz T. (5) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 3 : 2 |
| 34 | Diallo G. | Altmaier D. | 3 : 0 |
| 35 | Arnaldi M. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 3 |
| 36 | Holt B. | Davidovich Fokina A. (26) | 0 : 3 |
| 37 | Popyrin A. (20) | Fery A. (WC) | 1 : 3 |
| 38 | Darderi L. | Safiullin R. | 3 : 2 |
| 39 | Kopriva V. | Thompson J. | 2 : 3 |
| 40 | Bonzi B. | Medvedev D. (9) | 3 : 1 |
| 41 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Borges N. | 1 : 3 |
| 42 | Harris B. | Lajovic D. (LL) | 3 : 0 |
| 43 | Mochizuki S. (Q) | Zeppieri G. (Q) | 3 : 2 |
| 44 | McDonald M. | Khachanov K. (17) | 0 : 3 |
| 45 | Berrettini M. (32) | Majchrzak K. | 2 : 3 |
| 46 | Quinn E. | Searle H. (WC) | 3 : 1 |
| 47 | Garin C. (LL) | Rodesch C. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 48 | Rinderknech A. | Zverev A. (3) | 3 : 2 |
| 49 | Rune H. (8) | Jarry N. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 50 | Tien L. | Basavareddy N. | 3 : 0 |
| 51 | Fearnley J. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 3 |
| 52 | Brooksby J. | Griekspoor T. (31) | 3 : 0 |
| 53 | Lehecka J. (23) | Dellien H. | 3 : 1 |
| 54 | Bellucci M. | Crawford O. (WC) | 3 : 1 |
| 55 | Norrie C. | Bautista-Agut R. | 3 : 1 |
| 56 | Moller E. | Tiafoe F. (12) | 0 : 3 |
| 57 | Rublev A. (14) | Djere L. | 3 : 1 |
| 58 | Bergs Z. | Harris L. | 1 : 3 |
| 59 | Mannarino A. (Q) | O'Connell C. | 3 : 0 |
| 60 | Royer V. (Q) | Tsitsipas S. (RET.) (24) | 2 : 0 |
| 61 | Auger-Aliassime F. (25) | Duckworth J. | 3 : 2 |
| 62 | Struff J-L. | Misolic F. (Q) | 3 : 1 |
| 63 | Tarvet O. (Q) | Riedi L. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 64 | Fognini F. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 2 : 3 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Vukic A. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Martinez P. | Navone M. | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Dimitrov G. (19) | Moutet C. | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Ofner S. | Paul T. (13) | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Shelton B. (10) | Hijikata R. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Fucsovics M. | Monfils G. | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Nakashima B. (29) | Opelka R. | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Sonego L. | Basilashvili N. | 3 : 1 |
| 9 | Draper J. (4) | Cilic M. | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Marozsan F. | Munar J. | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Cobolli F. (22) | Pinnington Jones J. | 3 : 0 |
| 12 | Giron M. | Mensik J. (15) | 1 : 3 |
| 13 | De Minaur A. (11) | Cazaux A. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Holmgren A. | Machac T. (21) | 3 : 2 |
| 15 | Kecmanovic M. | De Jong J. | 3 : 1 |
| 16 | Evans D. | Djokovic N. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | Fritz T. (5) | Diallo G. | 3 : 2 |
| 18 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Davidovich Fokina A. (26) | 1 : 3 |
| 19 | Fery A. | Darderi L. | 0 : 3 |
| 20 | Thompson J. | Bonzi B. | 3 : 2 |
| 21 | Borges N. | Harris B. | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Mochizuki S. | Khachanov K. (17) | 2 : 3 |
| 23 | Majchrzak K. | Quinn E. | 3 : 0 |
| 24 | Garin C. | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 3 |
| 25 | Jarry N. | Tien L. | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Fonseca J. | Brooksby J. | 3 : 1 |
| 27 | Lehecka J. (23) | Bellucci M. | 0 : 3 |
| 28 | Norrie C. | Tiafoe F. (12) | 3 : 1 |
| 29 | Rublev A. (14) | Harris L. | 3 : 1 |
| 30 | Mannarino A. | Royer V. | 3 : 1 |
| 31 | Auger-Aliassime F. (25) | Struff J-L. | 1 : 3 |
| 32 | Tarvet O. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Martinez P. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Dimitrov G. (19) | Ofner S. | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Shelton B. (10) | Fucsovics M. | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Nakashima B. (29) | Sonego L. | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Cilic M. | Munar J. | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Cobolli F. (22) | Mensik J. (15) | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | De Minaur A. (11) | Holmgren A. | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Kecmanovic M. | Djokovic N. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Fritz T. (5) | Davidovich Fokina A. (26) | 3 : 1 |
| 10 | Darderi L. | Thompson J. | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | Borges N. | Khachanov K. (17) | 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Majchrzak K. | Rinderknech A. | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Jarry N. | Fonseca J. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Bellucci M. | Norrie C. | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Rublev A. (14) | Mannarino A. | 3 : 0 |
| 16 | Struff J-L. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 3 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Dimitrov G. (RET.) (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shelton B. (10) | Sonego L. | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Cilic M. | Cobolli F. (22) | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | De Minaur A. (11) | Djokovic N. (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Fritz T. (5) | Thompson J. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Khachanov K. (17) | Majchrzak K. | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Jarry N. | Norrie C. | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Rublev A. (14) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Shelton B. (10) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Cobolli F. (22) | Djokovic N. (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Fritz T. (5) | Khachanov K. (17) | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Norrie C. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Djokovic N. (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Fritz T. (5) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Alcaraz C. (2) | |
Which TV channels are streaming of Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 5 |
 Albania | DigitAlb |
 Argentina | ESPN |
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 Asia | beIN Sports MENA, SPOTV 2 Asia, Star Sports 1 Asia |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Belgium | Eurosport 2, Max, Max |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Bulgaria | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max |
 Canada | RDS, TSN 1 |
 China | CCTV-5 |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Cyprus | Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1 |
 Czech-republic | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max |
 Denmark | DR 1 |
 Europe | Go3 Sport 1 Baltic |
 Finland | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, Max, TV5 |
 France | beIN Sports |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video |
 Greece | Nova Sports 6, Nova Sports Prime |
 Hungary | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, Max |
 Iceland | Eurosport 2 |
 India | Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports 1 |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC TV, Vidio |
 Ireland | Premier Sports 1 ROI, Premier Sports 2 ROI |
 Japan | NHK G TV, Wowow Cinema, Wowow Live, Wowow Prime |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 1, ART Sport 2, ART Sport 3, ART Sport 4, ART Sport 5 |
 Macao | TDM TV |
 Malaysia | Unifi TV |
 Malta | TSN Malta 1 |
 Mexico | ESPN |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Netherlands | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max, Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | ESPN |
 Norway | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, MAX |
 Papua-new-guinea | TVWan Sports |
 Peru | ESPN |
 Philippines | Cignal Play |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1, Sport TV2, Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, Max |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1, RTS 1, RTS 2 |
 Slovakia | Eurosport 2 |
 Slovenia | Sportklub |
 South-korea | tvN |
 Spain | Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max, Kanal 5 |
 Switzerland | RTS 1, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2 |
 Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+, TRT Spor |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports Premium, Setanta Sports, Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ |
 Usa | ESPN USA |
 Venezuela | ESPN |
 World | Sport 24, The Tennis Channel |
