Result
2:0
07/04/2026 at 07:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 65% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 83% (25/30) | 55% (22/40) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 32% (7/22) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0/1 | 5/10 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 48% (19/40) | 30% (9/30) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 60% (9/15) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 5/10 | 1/1 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 24 | 5 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 33% (2/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (31/45) | 45% (28/62) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (34/62) | 31% (14/45) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (65/107) | 39% (42/107) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 38% (3/8) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 13% (1/8) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 25% (4/16) |
Chances of winning
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
93.1% | Sebastian Baez
6.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Sebastian Baez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.03 ↓
(1.04) |
|
13.77 ↑
(11.38) |
4.2%
(5.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Sebastian Baez?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Baez will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Baez is ranked ATP: 65.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Alcaraz Garfia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the clear favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:0. (average 1.8:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Sebastian Baez?
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?
Sebastian Baez has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Sebastian Baez were as follows:
25.09.2025
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
-
Sebastian Baez
2:0
30.08.2022
Sebastian Baez
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
0:2
Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Latest results of Sebastian Baez
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Baez S. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Etcheverry T. M. | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Atmane T. | Quinn E. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Lehecka J. (11) | Nava E. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Fucsovics M. | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Monfils G. (WC) | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Bublik A. (8) | |
| 9 | Musetti L. (4) | Bye | |
| 10 | Vacherot V. | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Dzumhur D. (LL) | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Hurkacz H. (PR) | Darderi L. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Cobolli F. (10) | Comesana F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Shapovalov D. | Blockx A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Norrie C. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 18 | Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL) | Berrettini M. (WC) | 0 : 0 |
| 19 | Fonseca J. | Diallo G. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Rinderknech A. | Khachanov K. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Rublev A. (13) | Borges N. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Bergs Z. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Garin C. (Q) | Arnaldi M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Zverev A. (3) | |
| 25 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Bye | |
| 26 | Cilic M. | Shevchenko A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Moutet C. | Muller A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Popyrin A. | Ruud C. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Tsitsipas S. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Altmaier D. | Machac T. | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Kouame M. (WC) | Humbert U. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Sinner J. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Etcheverry T. M. | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Lehecka J. (11) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Monfils G. | Bublik A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Musetti L. (4) | Vacherot V. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Marozsan F. | Hurkacz H. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Cobolli F. (10) | Blockx A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Norrie C. | De Minaur A. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (7) | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Fonseca J. | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Rublev A. (13) | Bergs Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Garin C. | Zverev A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Moutet C. | Ruud C. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Machac T. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Humbert U. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Lehecka J. (11) | Bublik A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Vacherot V. | Hurkacz H. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Blockx A. | De Minaur A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Berrettini M. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Bergs Z. | Zverev A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Ruud C. (RET.) (9) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Machac T. | Sinner J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bublik A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vacherot V. | De Minaur A. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Fonseca J. | Zverev A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Vacherot V. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Zverev A. (3) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
