Burton Albion vs Doncaster Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 26

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.932.87
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
46
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
207
Passes
70% (240/344)58% (121/207)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.932.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.842.16
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
104
Shots inside the box
1611
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
11
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
207
Touches in opposition box
3420
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free kicks
1314
Passes
70% (240/344)58% (121/207)
Long passes
39% (28/71)23% (17/74)
Passes in final third
57% (77/136)41% (34/82)
Crosses
18% (9/50)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.801.17
Throw ins
3015
Fouls
1413
Tackles
50% (5/10)31% (4/13)
Duels won
5966
Clearances
1364
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
44
xGOT faced
2.160.84
Goals prevented
0.16-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Molyneux L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 12', 0 - 2, Bailey O. , Molyneux L. (A),
  • 29', Gotts R. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Senior J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Armer J. , Revan S. ,
  • 46', Adom K. , Shade T. ,
  • 46', Sibbick T. , Vancooten T. ,
  • 60', Lee E. , Sharp B. ,
  • 66', Chauke K. , Cannon A. ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Lofthouse K. , Evans G. (A),
  • 78', Beesley J. 🟨,
  • 78', Adelakun H. , Pearson M. ,
  • 90', McKiernan J. J. , Tavares F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Burton Albion
31.7%
Draw
28.6%
Doncaster Rovers
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 29.2% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 29.3% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Burton Albion aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Burton Albion - Doncaster Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (2.95)
    3.27
    (3.2)
    2.37
    (2.38)
    6.7%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Doncaster Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Doncaster will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Burton (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Burton (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
    • Burton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Doncaster is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Burton: Delap F. (Inactive) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Sraha J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Doncaster: Close B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Burton: Godwin-Malife U. (Inactive) McKiernan J. J. (Inactive) Revan S. (Inactive) Webster C. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Burton won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion 1:1
    07.11.2023 Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion 2:1
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two