Burton Albion vs Doncaster Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent).

League One - Round 26

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.93	2.87
Ball possession
64%	36%
Total shots
20	13
Shots on target
4	6
Big chances
1	4
Corner kicks
20	7
Passes
70% (240/344)	58% (121/207)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.93	2.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.84	2.16
Total shots
20	13
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked shots
10	4
Shots inside the box
16	11
Shots outside the box
4	2
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
1	1
Big chances
1	4
Corner kicks
20	7
Touches in opposition box
34	20
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	2
Free kicks
13	14
Passes
70% (240/344)	58% (121/207)
Long passes
39% (28/71)	23% (17/74)
Passes in final third
57% (77/136)	41% (34/82)
Crosses
18% (9/50)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.80	1.17
Throw ins
30	15
Fouls
14	13
Tackles
50% (5/10)	31% (4/13)
Duels won
59	66
Clearances
13	64
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	4
xGOT faced
2.16	0.84
Goals prevented
0.16	-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Molyneux L. (Penalty Awarded),
12', 0 - 2, Bailey O. ⚽, Molyneux L. (A),
29', Gotts R. 🟨,
45+1', Senior J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Armer J. ↓, Revan S. ↑,
46', Adom K. ↓, Shade T. ↑,
46', Sibbick T. ↓, Vancooten T. ↑,
60', Lee E. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
66', Chauke K. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Lofthouse K. ⚽, Evans G. (A),
78', Beesley J. 🟨,
78', Adelakun H. ↓, Pearson M. ↑,
90', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Burton Albion
31.7%

Draw
28.6%

Doncaster Rovers
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

29.2%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

29.3%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Burton Albion aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Burton Albion - Doncaster Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (2.95)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	2.37 ↓ (2.38)	6.7% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Doncaster Rovers?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Doncaster will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Burton (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Burton (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
Burton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Doncaster is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Burton: Delap F. (Inactive) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Sraha J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Doncaster: Close B. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Burton: Godwin-Malife U. (Inactive) McKiernan J. J. (Inactive) Revan S. (Inactive) Webster C. (Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Burton won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Doncaster Rovers?

Burton Albion has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Burton Albion?

Doncaster Rovers has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:

04.10.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion 1:1

07.11.2023 Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion 2:1

Latest results of Burton Albion

31.01.2026 Burton Albion - Cardiff City 2:2 ✺

27.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion 2:1 ✺

22.01.2026 Lincoln City - Burton Albion 2:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Burton Albion - Huddersfield Town 3:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Boreham Wood - Burton Albion 0:5 ✺

Latest results of Doncaster Rovers

31.01.2026 Bradford City - Doncaster Rovers 1:0 ✺

27.01.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Leyton Orient 3:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Wigan Athletic 3:3 ✺

17.01.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers 0:1 ✺

13.01.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Fleetwood Town 3:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	34	22	6	6	68:36	32	72
2	Lincoln	34	21	8	5	63:31	32	71
3	Bolton	35	16	13	6	50:34	16	61
4	Bradford City	34	17	7	10	43:38	5	58
5	Stockport County	34	16	8	10	47:43	4	56
6	Wycombe	35	14	11	10	50:36	14	53
7	Huddersfield	35	15	7	13	55:46	9	52
8	Reading	34	13	12	9	50:44	6	51
9	Stevenage	33	14	9	10	37:35	2	51
10	Luton	34	13	8	13	43:41	2	47
11	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	50:49	1	46
12	Plymouth	34	14	4	16	49:50	-1	46
13	Barnsley	32	12	8	12	53:54	-1	44
14	AFC Wimbledon	33	12	7	14	41:48	-7	43
15	Exeter	34	11	9	14	39:40	-1	42
16	Mansfield	33	10	11	12	39:37	2	41
17	Burton	35	10	10	15	39:50	-11	40
18	Doncaster	33	11	6	16	36:55	-19	39
19	Wigan	33	9	10	14	35:46	-11	37
20	Blackpool	34	10	7	17	40:54	-14	37
21	Leyton Orient	33	10	6	17	44:56	-12	36
22	Rotherham	34	9	8	17	33:47	-14	35
23	Northampton	35	9	8	18	31:47	-16	35
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	26:44	-18	27

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two