Lincoln City vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

LNER stadium (Lincoln).

League One - Round 28
Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.18	0.95
Ball possession
45%	55%
Total shots
10	8
Shots on target
4	2
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
2	5
Passes
69% (226/327)	76% (288/379)
Yellow cards
3	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.18	0.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.61	0.99
Total shots
10	8
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked shots
1	3
Shots inside the box
5	6
Shots outside the box
5	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
20	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free kicks
9	18
Passes
69% (226/327)	76% (288/379)
Long passes
26% (18/69)	25% (13/53)
Passes in final third
50% (53/106)	66% (84/127)
Crosses
30% (3/10)	19% (7/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.52	1.13
Throw ins
31	23
Fouls
18	9
Tackles
62% (8/13)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
47	57
Clearances
37	32
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.99	0.61
Goals prevented
-0.01	-1.39

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 1 - 0, Moylan J. ⚽, Draper F. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Beesley J. ⚽, Armer J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, Moylan J. ⚽,
70', Larsson J. ↓, Revan S. ↑,
78', Moylan J. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
78', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
80', Adom K. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
84', Street R. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
85', Hamer T. 🟨,
88', Sibbick T. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
89', Lloyd A. 🟨,
90', Darikwa T. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Lincoln City
61.3%

Draw
23.1%

Burton Albion
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

24%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

22.2%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Lincoln City - Burton Albion Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.58)	4.02 ↑ (3.83)	5.91 ↑ (5.17)	7.3% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Burton Albion?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Burton will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Burton (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Lincoln (1.88) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Burton (2.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - Lincoln (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 6 - 50%). Burton (votes: 6 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 4.
Lincoln is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Burton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Lincoln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Lincoln is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Lincoln: Bayliss T. (Inactive) Collins J. (Knee Injury) House B. (Inactive) Jackson A. (Surgery) Thorn O. (Inactive)
There will not play in Burton: Delap F. (Inactive) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Sraha J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Burton: Hartridge A. (Inactive) Webster C. (Injury)
We predict that Lincoln will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Burton Albion?

Lincoln City has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Lincoln City?

Burton Albion has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Burton Albion were as follows:

13.09.2025 Burton Albion - Lincoln City 0:1

26.08.2025 Burton Albion - Lincoln City 0:1

22.02.2025 Lincoln City - Burton Albion 0:1

10.08.2024 Burton Albion - Lincoln City 2:3

03.02.2024 Burton Albion - Lincoln City 0:1

Latest results of Lincoln City

17.01.2026 Luton Town - Lincoln City 2:2 ✺

04.01.2026 Lincoln City - Peterborough United 5:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Lincoln City - Huddersfield Town 1:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Barnsley - Lincoln City 0:2 ✺

26.12.2025 Stockport County - Lincoln City 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Burton Albion

17.01.2026 Burton Albion - Huddersfield Town 3:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Boreham Wood - Burton Albion 0:5 ✺

04.01.2026 Plymouth Argyle - Burton Albion 3:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Reading - Burton Albion 2:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Burton Albion - Wigan Athletic 0:2 ✺

English League One Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	46	31	10	5	89:41	48	103
2	Cardiff ✔	46	27	10	9	90:50	40	91
3	Stockport County	46	22	11	13	71:58	13	77
4	Bradford City	46	22	11	13	58:51	7	77
5	Bolton ✔	46	19	18	9	70:52	18	75
6	Stevenage	46	21	12	13	49:46	3	75
7	Luton	46	21	11	14	68:56	12	74
8	Plymouth	46	22	7	17	75:63	12	73
9	Huddersfield	46	18	13	15	74:64	10	67
10	Mansfield	46	16	17	13	62:50	12	65
11	Wycombe	46	17	12	17	69:58	11	63
12	Reading	46	16	15	15	64:60	4	63
13	Blackpool	46	17	9	20	54:65	-11	60
14	Doncaster	46	17	9	20	50:69	-19	60
15	Barnsley	46	15	14	17	68:73	-5	59
16	Wigan	46	14	14	18	49:58	-9	56
17	Burton	46	13	15	18	50:60	-10	54
18	Peterborough	46	15	8	23	64:68	-4	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	15	8	23	51:72	-21	53
20	Leyton Orient	46	14	10	22	59:71	-12	52
21	Exeter	46	12	13	21	52:61	-9	49
22	Port Vale ✔	46	10	12	24	36:61	-25	42
23	Rotherham ✔	46	10	11	25	41:71	-30	41
24	Northampton ✔	46	9	8	29	39:74	-35	35

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two