Result
12/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Apertura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Chances of winning
Leones
40.5% | Draw
28.7% | Real Santander
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Leones - Real Santander Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.33) |
3.18 ↑
(3.06) |
2.97 ↑
(2.94) |
9.4%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones won 1.
- Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.
- Leones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leones won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 1.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Leones won against Real Santander?
Leones has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Santander won against Leones?
Real Santander has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones - Real Santander were as follows:
25.08.2025
Leones
-
Real Santander
1:1
22.07.2024
Leones
-
Real Santander
2:0
03.02.2024
Real Santander
-
Leones
0:0
09.09.2023
Real Santander
-
Leones
2:1
02.04.2023
Leones
-
Real Santander
1:1
Latest results of Real Santander
Colombian Primera B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Palmira ✔ | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 25:12 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | U. Magdalena ✔ | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 24:12 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Cartagena ✔ | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Quindio ✔ | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 5 | Envigado | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 | Tigres | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Barranquilla | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Bogota | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Atletico F.C | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | Real Santander | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 |
| 16 | Leones | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7:24 | -17 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Palmira is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
U. Magdalena is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Cartagena is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Quindio is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
