Result
3:1
29/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 4
- Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (402/473) | 73% (215/293) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (402/473) | 73% (215/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (27/54) | 32% (16/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (122/160) | 59% (51/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (7/37) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 2.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Larsen L. 🟨,
- 22', Fortes J. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Monzialo K. ⚽, Laros M. (A),
- 30', Mulder P. 🟨,
- 36', Verbeek D. 🟨,
- 40', Fortes J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Verbeek D. ↓, Maas S. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Postema R. ⚽, Mesbahi J. (A),
- 48', Larsen L. ↓, Evina F. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 1, Geypens T. ⚽,
- 68', Bakir A. ↓, Nunumete D. ↑,
- 75', Kongolo R. ↓, Quispel F. ↑,
- 76', el Bakkali Z. ↓, Wang B. ↑,
- 76', Boumassaoudi I. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
- 76', Monzialo K. ↓, Kuijpers D. ↑,
- 76', Geypens T. ↓, Bolk G. ↑,
- 80', Felida K. 🟨,
- 82', Van Koeverden L. ↓, El Allachi C. ↑,
- 89', Amadin N. ↓, Sunder C. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Laros M. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Emmen
40.9% | Draw
26.9% | Den Bosch
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Den Bosch's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emmen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Den Bosch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Emmen - Den Bosch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.07) |
3.48 ↑
(3.35) |
2.91 ↓
(3.62) |
7%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Emmen - Den Bosch?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Emmen will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Den Bosch will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Den Bosch: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 3.
- Emmen is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Den Bosch is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Emmen has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Den Bosch has had a series of home games.
- Emmen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Emmen: Denk L.
(Knee Injury)
Kade J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Den Bosch: Karlsson Grach S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Den Bosch: de Groot N.
(Injury)
van Grunsven T.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emmen won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Emmen won against Den Bosch?
Emmen has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Den Bosch won against Emmen?
Den Bosch has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emmen - Den Bosch were as follows:
20.12.2024
Emmen
-
Den Bosch
0:3
20.09.2024
Den Bosch
-
Emmen
1:0
02.08.2024
Emmen
-
Den Bosch
1:0
03.05.2024
Den Bosch
-
Emmen
1:2
10.11.2023
Emmen
-
Den Bosch
1:0
Latest results of Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 25 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Roda | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
| 5 | Willem II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 6 | Dordrecht | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Helmond | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | De Graafschap | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Venlo | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Maastricht | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Oss | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Eindhoven FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Almere City | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 9 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
