Result
2:3
09/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 30
- Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 2.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (324/394) | 80% (331/413) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 2.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (324/394) | 80% (331/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (41/72) | 45% (29/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (128/175) | 63% (77/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.64 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | -1.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Staring C. ⚽, Postema R. (A),
- 35', 1 - 1, Oufkir A. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Gerezgiher F. ⚽, Larsen L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Meerdink M. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
- 46', Schipper J. ↓, Zeggen K. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 2, Kovacs B. ⚽, Bouziane W. (A),
- 59', Bakir A. ↓, Quispel F. ↑,
- 59', Kongolo R. ↓, Nunumete D. ↑,
- 61', Oufkir A. ↓, Hartog J. ↑,
- 68', Larsen L. ↓, Bolk G. ↑,
- 72', Robbemond R. ↓, Oerip J. ↑,
- 77', Besuijen V. ↓, Geypens T. ↑,
- 77', Gerezgiher F. ↓, van Manen S. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 3, van Manen S. ⚽,
- 84', Mukeh J. 🟨,
- 86', Bouziane W. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong AZ Alkmaar
43.6% | Draw
25.1% | Emmen
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong AZ Alkmaar's form might have worsened.Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emmen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emmen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jong AZ Alkmaar - Emmen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(1.82) |
3.71 ↓
(4.11) |
2.97 ↓
(3.59) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - Emmen?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Emmen will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong AZ: 19% – 81%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Jong AZ (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 5.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +2 - Jong AZ (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +1 - Jong AZ (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Emmen (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jong AZ Alkmaar will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong AZ (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Emmen (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 2.
- Recent performances by Jong AZ have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Emmen has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Jong AZ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Emmen has had a series of home games.
- Jong AZ is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Jong AZ: Chavez Garcia M.
(Injury)
Zwart J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Emmen: Claridge A.
(Knee Injury)
Denk L.
(Knee Injury)
Kade J.
(Knee Injury)
Rhein T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Emmen?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emmen won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Emmen has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - Emmen were as follows:
28.11.2025
Emmen
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4:2
18.04.2025
Emmen
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:4
13.12.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Emmen
1:1
08.04.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Emmen
3:2
27.10.2023
Emmen
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:1
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
