Talavera de la Reina vs Cacereño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
30/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
75
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
71
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
75
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Gomez C. ,
  • 30', Deco 🟨,
  • 30', Deco , Rementeria U. ,
  • 36', Navarro I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sanchez L. , Molina A. ,
  • 46', Farrando M. , Moreno M. ,
  • 51', Molina S. , Montero Sergio ,
  • 61', Gonzalez C. , Sanchis R. ,
  • 61', Rementeria U. 🟨,
  • 68', Fernandez I. , Gomez D. ,
  • 68', Gomez C. , Sanvi ,
  • 71', Hernandez E. 🟨,
  • 77', Molina S. 🟨,
  • 86', Roig A. , Cuenca D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Talavera de la Reina
43.8%
Draw
30.8%
Cacereño
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 30% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 25.3% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talavera de la Reina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.09)
    2.98
    (3.1)
    3.63
    (3.63)
    8.8%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 0.
    • Talavera is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cacereño is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Talavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Talavera has had a series of away games.
    • Talavera will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Talavera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño 1:3
    16.02.2025 Cacereño - Talavera de la Reina 1:1
    06.10.2024 Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño 2:2
    17.03.2024 Cacereño - Talavera de la Reina 4:0
    04.11.2023 Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño 1:2
    Latest results of Cacereño
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife ✔ 352110457:203773
    2Celta Vigo B ✔ 351710856:441261
    3Zamora351610949:381158
    4Real Madrid B351681155:431256
    5Pontevedra351315743:261754
    6Ponferradina351491238:32651
    7Barakaldo3513121044:36851
    8Unionistas3513101247:45249
    9Lugo3512131034:37-349
    10AD Merida351391344:49-548
    11Racing Club Ferrol351381438:43-547
    12Arenas Getxo351451641:51-1047
    13Ath Bilbao B3512101336:40-446
    14Real Aviles3511101451:58-743
    15Ourense CF359121440:42-239
    16CF Talavera351091635:44-939
    17Cacereno358141335:45-1038
    18Guadalajara359101639:54-1537
    19Osasuna B35991725:39-1436
    20Arenteiro35692029:50-2127

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tenerife is Confirmed as championsnQualified for LaLiga2
    Celta Vigo B is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Group 1