Result
1:2
25/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
Chances of winning
Talavera de la Reina
33.2% | Draw
28.9% | Real Madrid Castilla
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid Castilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.51) |
3.2 ↑
(3.13) |
2.44 ↓
(2.65) |
8.6%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Real Madrid Castilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1.3:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Talavera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 2.3:4).
How many head-to-head matches has Talavera de la Reina won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Talavera de la Reina has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Talavera de la Reina?
Real Madrid Castilla has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:
02.11.2025
Real Madrid Castilla
-
Talavera de la Reina
1:0
10.12.2022
Real Madrid Castilla
-
Talavera de la Reina
0:0
Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife ✔ | 35 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B ✔ | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 56:44 | 12 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 58 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 35 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 54 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 38:32 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 2 | 49 |
| 9 | Lugo | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 34:37 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 48 |
| 11 | Racing Club Ferrol | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 47 |
| 12 | Arenas Getxo | 35 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 41:51 | -10 | 47 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 46 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 51:58 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 40:42 | -2 | 39 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 35:44 | -9 | 39 |
| 17 | Cacereno | 35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 38 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 39:54 | -15 | 37 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 25:39 | -14 | 36 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 29:50 | -21 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tenerife is Confirmed as championsnQualified for LaLiga2
Celta Vigo B is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
