Result
1:1
23/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: El Sholady M. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (457/525) | 75% (215/288) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (457/525) | 75% (215/288) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (58/83) | 46% (29/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (108/136) | 53% (45/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Dabbagh O. ⚽, Maher N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Alaa M. 🟨,
- 65', El Zahdi A. ↓, Emad M. ↑,
- 68', Maali A. ↓, Banza C. ↑,
- 78', Dabbagh O. ↓, Gaber O. ↑,
- 78', Moussaddaq S. ↓, Nasser A. ↑,
- 79', El Nahas M. ↓, Mahmoud M. ↑,
- 79', El Sayed B. ↓, Mohsen M. ↑,
- 79', Randrianantenaina A. ↓, Karim A. ↑,
- 83', Dunga N. ↓, Hamdi A. ↑,
- 83', Kaied A. ↓, Esho A. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Emad M. ⚽, Karim A. (A),
- 90+3', Ibrahim H. ↓, Salah R. ↑,
- 90+6', El Said A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zamalek
62.1% | Draw
25% | El Gouna
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamalek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zamalek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Zamalek - El Gouna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↑
(1.44) |
3.74 ↓
(3.81) |
7.22 ↓
(8.1) |
7%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Zamalek - El Gouna?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Zamalek will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). El Gouna will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zamalek: 62.2% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - El Gouna (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Zamalek will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Zamalek (votes: 4 - 80%). El Gouna (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 3.
- Zamalek is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, El Gouna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Zamalek is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Zamalek will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:13. (average 2.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zamalek won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Zamalek won against El Gouna?
Zamalek has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Gouna won against Zamalek?
El Gouna has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zamalek - El Gouna were as follows:
19.03.2025
Zamalek
-
El Gouna
1:1
27.01.2025
Zamalek
-
El Gouna
4:1
02.08.2024
Zamalek
-
El Gouna
1:0
12.03.2024
El Gouna
-
Zamalek
3:2
Latest results of Zamalek
Latest results of El Gouna
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | ZED | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Wadi Degla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | El Gouna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 29 |
| 11 | National Bank Egypt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 26 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 14 | El Gaish | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 22 |
| 15 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 21 |
| 16 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 20 |
| 17 | Arab Contractors | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 19 |
| 18 | Haras El Hodood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 18 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 17 |
| 20 | Pharco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 16 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 12 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
