Result
1:1
29/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (198/305) | 71% (254/357) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (198/305) | 71% (254/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (25/74) | 46% (42/91) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (43/75) | 55% (80/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 24% (8/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (19/25) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Cooper I. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, El Said A. ⚽, Mohamed S. E. D. A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Belia A. ↓, Taalab A. ↑,
- 59', Mohamed S. E. D. A. ↓, Refaat A. ↑,
- 59', Tarek Z. ↓, El Negely M. ↑,
- 59', Bayoumi M. ↓, El Henawy F. ↑,
- 73', El Zahdi A. ↓, Metawea M. ↑,
- 77', Turay A. ↓, El Shimi S. ↑,
- 77', Saviola O. 🟨,
- 78', El Said A. ↓, El Nahas M. ↑,
- 89', Khaled A. 🟨,
- 90+1', El Deghemy M. ↓, Nayel A. ↑,
- 90+1', Magli M. ↓, Ashraf M. ↑,
- 90+5', Abdelhakim I. ↓, Ashraf I. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Hamdi M. ⚽, El Negely M. (A),
Chances of winning
El Gouna
41% | Draw
34.4% | Haras El-Hodood
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Haras El-Hodood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Gouna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
El Gouna - Haras El-Hodood Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(2) |
2.69 ↓
(2.82) |
3.76 ↓
(4.31) |
7.9%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for El Gouna - Haras El-Hodood?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. El Gouna will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for El Gouna: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 1.
- In recent matches, El Gouna has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Haras El-Hodood is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, El Gouna is the team to beat.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Gouna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has El Gouna won against Haras El-Hodood?
El Gouna has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Haras El-Hodood won against El Gouna?
Haras El-Hodood has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Gouna - Haras El-Hodood were as follows:
13.09.2025
Haras El-Hodood
-
El Gouna
2:1
31.01.2025
El Gouna
-
Haras El-Hodood
0:1
Latest results of El Gouna
Latest results of Haras El-Hodood
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 44 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 39 |
| 10 | ZED | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 39 |
| 11 | El Gouna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 31 |
| 14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 30 |
| 15 | El Gaish | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 28 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 28 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 23 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 21 |
| 20 | Pharco | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 20 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 17 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
