Result
0:1
18/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Megelaitis L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Zallu F. ↓, Di Massimo A. ↑,
- 55', Djankpata H. ↓, Murru N. ↑,
- 64', Nepi A. ↓, Montevago D. ↑,
- 65', Giunti G. ↓, Joselito ↑,
- 70', 0 - 1, La Mantia A. ⚽,
- 75', Signorini A. ↓, Fazzi N. ↑,
- 76', Tumbarello G. ↓, Lisi F. ↑,
- 87', Hraiech S. ↓, Niang O. ↑,
- 87', Tommasini C. ↓, Baroncelli L. ↑,
- 88', Dell'Orco C. ↓, Matos ↑,
- 90+7', Costa G. 🟨,
- 90+13', Tozzuolo A. 🟨,
- 90+13', Di Bitonto A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Perugia
44.5% | Draw
31.3% | Gubbio
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gubbio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gubbio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Perugia - Gubbio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.25) |
2.9 ↓
(3.46) |
3.75 ↑
(2.83) |
10.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 2.
- Perugia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gubbio's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Gubbio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Perugia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Perugia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Gubbio?
Perugia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gubbio won against Perugia?
Gubbio has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Gubbio were as follows:
06.09.2025
Gubbio
-
Perugia
1:1
20.01.2025
Gubbio
-
Perugia
1:0
15.09.2024
Perugia
-
Gubbio
1:1
17.03.2024
Gubbio
-
Perugia
0:1
12.11.2023
Perugia
-
Gubbio
1:0
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49:19 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Ternana | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Juventus U23 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Pianese | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 39 |
| 8 | Pineto | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
| 9 | Gubbio | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 10 | Livorno | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:39 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Forli | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Vis Pesaro | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Guidonia | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Carpi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 15 | Bra | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Torres | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 | Perugia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 18 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
