Gernika vs Náxara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
21/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Villoslada I. ,
  • 33', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 54', 1 - 2, ,
  • 67', 1 - 3, ,
  • 74', 2 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Gernika
48.7%
Draw
27.8%
Náxara
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 28.5% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 29.6% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Náxara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Gernika - Náxara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.93)
    3.28
    (3.17)
    3.88
    (3.66)
    9.7%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).
    • Gernika has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Náxara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Gernika might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gernika won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gernika won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gernika - Náxara were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Náxara - Gernika 1:4
    24.03.2024 Náxara - Gernika 2:1
    12.11.2023 Gernika - Náxara 1:1
    Latest results of Gernika
    14.03.2026 Beasain - Gernika 4:0
    08.03.2026 Gernika - UD Logroñés 1:3
    28.02.2026 Eibar B - Gernika 3:2
    22.02.2026 Gernika - Sestao 0:0
    14.02.2026 Mutilvera - Gernika 2:0
    Latest results of Náxara
    15.03.2026 Náxara - Alavés B 0:1
    08.03.2026 Ejea - Náxara 1:1
    28.02.2026 Náxara - Basconia 3:0
    22.02.2026 Zaragoza B - Náxara 0:1
    15.02.2026 Náxara - Tudelano 0:2
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1R. Union28178350:242659
    2Alaves B28149532:151751
    3UD Logrones28155861:283350
    4Utebo FC28146849:361348
    5Tudelano28138746:321447
    6Sestao281110734:26843
    7Ebro28914537:29841
    8Eibar B281251132:32041
    9Amorebieta28109927:25239
    10Gernika281151230:36-638
    11Naxara28971232:39-734
    12Basconia28712935:36-133
    13Ejea28791229:41-1230
    14SD Logrones286121020:34-1430
    15Mutilvera28851527:50-2329
    16Beasain286101230:38-828
    17Zaragoza B28571622:48-2622
    18Alfaro28471722:46-2419

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