Mutilvera vs Gernika – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', 1 - 0, ,
  • 81', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Mutilvera
22.7%
Draw
28.9%
Gernika
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.6% 29.7% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 29.1% 41.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mutilvera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mutilvera's form might have worsened.
  • Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gernika's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mutilvera than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mutilvera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gernika, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mutilvera - Gernika Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.02
    (3.05)
    3.16
    (3.04)
    1.89
    (2.23)
    9.4%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mutilvera won 1.
    • Mutilvera is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gernika's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gernika will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mutilvera won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mutilvera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mutilvera - Gernika were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Gernika - Mutilvera 1:0
    10.02.2024 Mutilvera - Gernika 3:0
    01.10.2023 Gernika - Mutilvera 1:1
    14.05.2023 Mutilvera - Gernika 0:1
    15.01.2023 Gernika - Mutilvera 2:1
    Latest results of Mutilvera
    08.02.2026 Alavés B - Mutilvera 2:0
    31.01.2026 Mutilvera - Ejea 1:3
    25.01.2026 Zaragoza B - Mutilvera 3:2
    18.01.2026 Mutilvera - Tudelano 1:3
    11.01.2026 Náxara - Mutilvera 0:1
    Latest results of Gernika
    31.01.2026 Gernika - SD Logroñés 2:0
    25.01.2026 Alfaro - Gernika 0:2
    18.01.2026 Gernika - Zaragoza B 1:0
    10.01.2026 Ejea - Gernika 1:0
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1R. Union34209564:352969
    2Alaves B341711641:202162
    3UD Logrones34187973:334061
    4Utebo FC341771056:421458
    5Tudelano34169956:401657
    6Amorebieta3413111038:32650
    7Sestao341214840:33750
    8Ebro341116742:36649
    9Eibar B341471341:42-149
    10Basconia341114955:431247
    11Gernika341291334:40-645
    12Naxara341181539:48-941
    13SD Logrones348131322:40-1837
    14Beasain348121438:46-836
    15Ejea348111535:55-2035
    16Mutilvera34862031:65-3430
    17Zaragoza B34772032:59-2728
    18Alfaro34672132:60-2825

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