Result
4:3
10/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 24
- Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 7 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (319/422) | 75% (263/350) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.25 | 2.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (319/422) | 75% (263/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (33/65) | 47% (25/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (85/138) | 59% (56/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.30 | 3.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.70 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Meyer T. ⚽,
- 13', Villiger L. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 1, Kabwit O. ⚽, Von Moos J. (A),
- 35', 1 - 2, Plange L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 37', 2 - 2, Di Giusto M. ⚽, Villiger L. (A),
- 45+1', Diarrassouba S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Diarrassouba S. ↓, Ngom M. ↑,
- 48', Diaby A. 🟨,
- 53', 3 - 2, Kohler S. (Own goal),
- 58', 3 - 3, Stroscio S. ⚽,
- 58', Plange L. ↓, Lee Young-Jun ↑,
- 67', Meyer T. ↓, Imourane H. ↑,
- 69', Lee Young-Jun 🟨,
- 73', Kabwit O. ↓, Ottiger S. ↑,
- 73', Silva Ferreira L. M. ↓, Winkler L. ↑,
- 73', Villiger L. ↓, Vasovic A. ↑,
- 76', 4 - 3, Ottiger S. ⚽,
- 82', Von Moos J. ↓, Grbic A. ↑,
- 84', Stroscio S. ↓, Marques S. ↑,
- 90+3', Ngom M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Loretz P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Luzern
53.4% | Draw
23.7% | Grasshoppers
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luzern's performance.Grasshoppers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grasshoppers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Luzern - Grasshoppers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.95) |
3.94 ↑
(3.57) |
4.11 ↑
(3.47) |
6.5%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Luzern - Grasshoppers?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Luzern will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Grasshoppers will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luzern: 39.2% – 89.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- DC - Grasshoppers (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Luzern (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Grasshoppers (3.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luzern will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Luzern (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Grasshoppers (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 3.
- Luzern is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Grasshoppers has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Grasshoppers has had a series of home games.
- Luzern might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Luzern: Ciganiks A.
(Inactive)
Freimann B.
(Yellow Cards)
Knezevic S.
(Inactive)
Lofgren J.
(Hernia)
Spadanuda K.
(Injury)
Zimmermann M.
(Hip Injury)
- There will not play in Grasshoppers: Abels D.
(Inactive)
Arigoni A.
(Inactive)
Bengondo S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Bettkober Y.
(Inactive)
Clemente O.
(Inactive)
Paloschi D.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luzern won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:3. (average 1.9:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against Grasshoppers?
Luzern has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grasshoppers won against Luzern?
Grasshoppers has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luzern - Grasshoppers were as follows:
02.11.2025
Luzern
-
Grasshoppers
6:0
26.07.2025
Grasshoppers
-
Luzern
2:3
06.04.2025
Grasshoppers
-
Luzern
3:1
03.11.2024
Luzern
-
Grasshoppers
2:0
27.07.2024
Grasshoppers
-
Luzern
2:2
Latest results of Grasshoppers
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 26 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 60:28 | 32 | 61 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 47 |
| 3 | Lugano | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 43:31 | 12 | 46 |
| 4 | Sion | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 39:30 | 9 | 40 |
| 5 | Basel | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 39:34 | 5 | 40 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 52:52 | 0 | 36 |
| 7 | Luzern | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 52:49 | 3 | 33 |
| 8 | Zurich | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 31 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Servette | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 44:51 | -7 | 28 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 34:47 | -13 | 21 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 29:75 | -46 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
