Result
2:0
22/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Punal A. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', 1 - 0, Ale Conteras ⚽,
- 71', 2 - 0, Pena H. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Estepona
30.1% | Draw
31.3% | UCAM Murcia
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Estepona - UCAM Murcia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(3) |
2.93 ↑
(2.81) |
2.38 ↓
(2.51) |
9.1%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
- Recent performances by Estepona have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- UCAM Murcia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estepona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estepona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Estepona won against UCAM Murcia?
Estepona has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UCAM Murcia won against Estepona?
UCAM Murcia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estepona - UCAM Murcia were as follows:
25.10.2025
UCAM Murcia
-
Estepona
2:0
19.01.2025
Estepona
-
UCAM Murcia
1:1
08.09.2024
UCAM Murcia
-
Estepona
1:0
24.03.2024
UCAM Murcia
-
Estepona
1:0
12.11.2023
Estepona
-
UCAM Murcia
1:0
Latest results of Estepona
Latest results of UCAM Murcia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 16 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 17 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 20 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 8 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 10 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 16 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 8 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | -3 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 0 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | -4 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez D.F.C. ✔ | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla ✔ | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B ✔ | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | -27 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | -34 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Xerez D.F.C. is Relegated to
Melilla is Relegated to
Almeria B is Relegated to
Malaga B is Relegated to
