Result
2:3
12/03/2024 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 38
- Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Carlisle United 16.1% | Draw 22.3% | Barnsley 61.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlisle United's form might have worsened.Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barnsley's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barnsley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Carlisle United - Barnsley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.78 ↑ (4.03) |
4.25 ↑ (3.65) |
1.53 ↓ (1.86) |
6.1% (6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Barnsley?
Users Predictions:
Barnsley will win
(34 of 39 users predict this - 87.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.69% – 97.67%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- Carlisle is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Barnsley is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Carlisle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Barnsley is a favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Barnsley?
Carlisle United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Carlisle United?
Barnsley has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Barnsley were as follows:
16.01.2024
Barnsley
-
Carlisle United
2:1
Latest results of Carlisle United
Latest results of Barnsley
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two