Result
0:1
28/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Montevago D. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, D'Andrea F. ⚽,
- 28', Gagliardi L. ↓, Ienco S. ↑,
- 33', Ladinetti R. 🟨,
- 34', Giannini D. 🟨,
- 44', Angella G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ladinetti R. ↓, Manzari G. ↑,
- 62', Bacchin L. ↓, Canotto L. ↑,
- 62', Tumbarello G. ↓, Bartolomei P. ↑,
- 63', Pellegrino A. ↓, Marrancone A. ↑,
- 63', Giannini D. ↓, Baggi F. ↑,
- 70', Verre V. ↓, Nepi A. ↑,
- 81', Tozzuolo A. 🟨,
- 81', Dell'Orco C. ↓, Lisi F. ↑,
- 83', Nebuloso G. ↓, El Haddad S. ↑,
- 83', Borsoi M. ↓, Viero F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Perugia
46.6% | Draw
30.2% | Pineto
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pineto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Perugia - Pineto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.04) |
3.03 ↓
(3.14) |
3.95 ↑
(3.61) |
9.2%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Perugia - Pineto?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Perugia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Perugia will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 2.
- Perugia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pineto's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Perugia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Perugia might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Perugia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Pineto?
Perugia has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pineto won against Perugia?
Pineto has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Pineto were as follows:
19.10.2025
Pineto
-
Perugia
3:0
28.03.2025
Perugia
-
Pineto
3:0
16.11.2024
Pineto
-
Perugia
3:1
18.08.2024
Pineto
-
Perugia
0:2
23.03.2024
Perugia
-
Pineto
2:2
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49:19 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Ternana | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Juventus U23 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Pianese | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 39 |
| 8 | Pineto | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
| 9 | Gubbio | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 10 | Livorno | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:39 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Forli | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Vis Pesaro | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Guidonia | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Carpi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 15 | Bra | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Torres | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 | Perugia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 18 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
