Sambenedettese vs Perugia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
08/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Max

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
55
Corner kicks
44
Yellow cards
24
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
67
Corner kicks
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', Angella G. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Tozzuolo A. ,
  • 36', Eusepi U. 🟨,
  • 41', Bacchin L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Zini A. , Parigini V. ,
  • 49', Lepri T. 🟨,
  • 58', Bongelli R. , Lulli L. ,
  • 64', Canotto L. , Lisi F. ,
  • 64', Manzari G. , Verre V. ,
  • 64', Bacchin L. , Bolsius D. ,
  • 69', Eusepi U. , Lonardo E. ,
  • 69', Stoppa M. , Martins K. ,
  • 76', Ladinetti R. , Megelaitis L. ,
  • 84', Dell'Orco C. 🟨,
  • 86', Candellori K. , Tosi F. ,
  • 90+5', Verre V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sambenedettese
32.7%
Draw
31.8%
Perugia
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 29.8% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 29.6% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sambenedettese's form might have worsened.
  • Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sambenedettese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Sambenedettese - Perugia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.38)
    2.87
    (3.09)
    2.58
    (2.92)
    9.4%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Sambenedettese - Perugia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Perugia (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Perugia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out)
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Perugia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sambenedettese won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Sambenedettese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sambenedettese - Perugia were as follows:
    23.09.2025 Perugia - Sambenedettese 1:2
    Latest results of Sambenedettese
    31.01.2026 Carpi - Sambenedettese 0:0
    24.01.2026 Sambenedettese - Pianese 0:2
    18.01.2026 Forlì - Sambenedettese 0:2
    11.01.2026 Sambenedettese - Gubbio 0:0
    04.01.2026 Bra - Sambenedettese 2:2
    Latest results of Perugia
    30.01.2026 Perugia - Ravenna 1:1
    25.01.2026 Ascoli - Perugia 2:1
    18.01.2026 Perugia - Gubbio 0:1
    11.01.2026 Perugia - Bra 1:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo34228457:223574
    2Ascoli34228462:224074
    3Ravenna35217749:301970
    4Campobasso341510947:371053
    5Juventus U23341491144:41351
    6Pineto3413111041:39250
    7Vis Pesaro3411131036:32446
    8Pianese341016834:33146
    9Ternana3413111041:36545
    10Gubbio3410141029:32-344
    11Livorno351171737:51-1440
    12Guidonia348141228:32-438
    13Carpi349101532:45-1337
    14Perugia348131337:42-537
    15Forli34991639:51-1236
    16Torres346171131:42-1135
    17Sambenedettese346131525:34-931
    18Bra346131534:50-1631
    19Pontedera343112026:58-3220
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation