Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 17
- Referee: Keighley A-M. (Nzl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport Select |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (221/336) | 59% (171/292) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (221/336) | 59% (171/292) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (18/50) | 19% (14/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (59/116) | 45% (31/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 55 | 44 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (18/23) | 89% (24/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.94 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 16', 0 - 1, Trimis P. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Anthony M. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Levin T. ⚽, Prakash A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Anthony M. ↓, Main E. ↑,
- 59', Leon L. ↓, Pijnenburg E. ↑,
- 66', Levin T. ↓, Fuller T. ↑,
- 67', Prakash A. ↓, Familton E. ↑,
- 75', Farrow M. ↓, Quilligan T. ↑,
- 82', Elliott M. ↓, Wall L. ↑,
- 87', Nunn B. ↓, Benson Z. ↑,
- 90+4', Woods M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Wellington Phoenix
56.1% | Draw
23.8% | Central Coast Mariners
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.61) |
3.86 ↑
(3.83) |
4.56 ↓
(4.59) |
9%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).
- Wellington is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Central Coast has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Wellington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Wellington is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Wellington will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Central Coast Mariners?
Wellington Phoenix has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Wellington Phoenix?
Central Coast Mariners has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
21.03.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:2
26.01.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:0
12.01.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:2
18.11.2023
Central Coast Mariners
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:0
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | Canberra W | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Adelaide W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Wellington Phoenix W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:13 | 16 | 25 |
| 5 | Perth W | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 22 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:31 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 17 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16:31 | -15 | 16 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 15 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
