Result
2:1
25/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 5
- Referee: Allum S. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (285/391) | 72% (292/404) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (285/391) | 72% (292/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (19/60) | 26% (14/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (43/78) | 46% (49/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (20/25) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', L. León ↓, M. Woods ↑,
- 58', 1 - 0, Familton E. ⚽, P. Trimis (A),
- 60', M. Anthony ↓, M. Fraser ↑,
- 66', M. van der Meer ↓, Tiana Jaber ↑,
- 72', T. Fuller ↓, Levin T. ↑,
- 76', E. Pijnenburg ↓, D. Brazendale ↑,
- 76', Familton E. ↓, T. Quilligan ↑,
- 76', P. Vlok ↓, Z. Benson ↑,
- 83', 2 - 0, I. Gomez ⚽, Levin T. (A),
- 87', B. Nunn 🟨,
- 89', P. Trimis ↓, B. Thew ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, M. Fraser ⚽,
Chances of winning
Central Coast Mariners
24.7% | Draw
24.8% | Wellington Phoenix
50.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.72 ↑
(3.5) |
3.71 ↑
(3.45) |
1.82 ↓
(1.83) |
8.8%
(12.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Central Coast (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Central Coast (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Coast (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Central Coast has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wellington is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Central Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Wellington is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Wellington Phoenix?
Central Coast Mariners has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Central Coast Mariners?
Wellington Phoenix has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
14.02.2026
Wellington Phoenix
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:2
21.03.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:2
26.01.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:0
12.01.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:2
18.11.2023
Central Coast Mariners
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:0
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City W (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Canberra W (3) | Melbourne Victory W (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Wellington Phoenix W (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar W (4) | Adelaide W (5) | 3 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City W (1) | Melbourne Victory W (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W (2) | Brisbane Roar W (4) | 1 : 2 |
