Result
1:1
07/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 16
- Referee: Stegemuller Fogh Simbold O. A. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (335/423) | 78% (322/412) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (335/423) | 78% (322/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (37/77) | 35% (19/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (74/120) | 64% (49/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Justinussen A. 🟨,
- 54', Schmidt N. ↓, Due Grandt M. ↑,
- 54', Arndal T. ↓, Kallsberg P. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 1, Kallsberg P. ⚽, Arndal-Lauritzen G. (A),
- 65', Opoku S. ↓, Jalaei S. ↑,
- 69', Arndal-Lauritzen G. 🟨,
- 72', Salah M. ↓, Culhaci G. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Gothler A. ⚽, Larsen G. (A),
- 80', Justinussen A. ↓, Kretzschmar N. ↑,
- 80', Arndal-Lauritzen G. ↓, Witt J. ↑,
- 80', Jakobsen M. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 89', Gothler A. ↓, Dorgu I. ↑,
- 90+1', Dorgu I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
HB Køge
26.7% | Draw
25.3% | Hillerød
48% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
HB Køge - Hillerød Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.5 ↓
(3.65) |
3.66 ↓
(3.76) |
1.94 ↑
(1.89) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for HB Køge - Hillerød?
Users Predictions:
Hillerød will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Køge won 0.
- In recent matches, Køge has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hillerød is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hillerød may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hillerød is considered a favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Køge won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:27. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Køge won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.7:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has HB Køge won against Hillerød?
HB Køge has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hillerød won against HB Køge?
Hillerød has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HB Køge - Hillerød were as follows:
23.08.2025
Hillerød
-
HB Køge
3:1
25.04.2025
Hillerød
-
HB Køge
3:0
13.04.2025
HB Køge
-
Hillerød
0:2
02.12.2024
HB Køge
-
Hillerød
1:5
16.08.2024
Hillerød
-
HB Køge
4:2
Latest results of HB Køge
Latest results of Hillerød
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 35:19 | 16 | 29 |
| 2 | Hillerod | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 3 | Horsens | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21:14 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Hvidovre IF | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | Aalborg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 27:20 | 7 | 24 |
| 6 | Esbjerg | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 23 |
| 7 | Kolding IF | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | B.93 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 21 |
| 9 | Aarhus Fremad | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 24:22 | 2 | 18 |
| 10 | Koge | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 19:30 | -11 | 17 |
| 11 | Hobro | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17:27 | -10 | 15 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 12:26 | -14 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
