Result
19/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Caerau Ely 38.3% | Draw 24.7% | Trefelin 37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Caerau Ely - Trefelin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.37 ↑ (2.27) |
3.69 ↓ (3.93) |
2.46 ↓ (2.61) |
10% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caerau won 2.
- Caerau is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Trefelin is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Trefelin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Caerau won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caerau won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Caerau Ely won against Trefelin?
Caerau Ely has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trefelin won against Caerau Ely?
Trefelin has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caerau Ely - Trefelin were as follows:
18.07.2025
Caerau Ely
-
Trefelin
3:4
12.11.2024
Caerau Ely
-
Trefelin
2:0
26.07.2024
Trefelin
-
Caerau Ely
1:0
20.07.2024
Caerau Ely
-
Trefelin
2:1
05.01.2024
Trefelin
-
Caerau Ely
3:1
Latest results of Caerau Ely
Latest results of Trefelin
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cambrian United | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 35:11 | 24 | 31 |
| 2 | Trefelin | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26:8 | 18 | 27 |
| 3 | Ammanford | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18:9 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Carmarthen Town | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | Caerau Ely | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27:15 | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | Cardiff Draconians | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 23 |
| 7 | Newport City | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20:15 | 5 | 21 |
| 8 | Aberystwyth | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | Baglan Dragons | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Llantwit Major | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 18:25 | -7 | 12 |
| 12 | Pontypridd | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Afan Lido | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13:28 | -15 | 11 |
| 14 | Treowen | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 21:33 | -12 | 10 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9:26 | -17 | 6 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8:37 | -29 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation