Exeter City vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English EFL Trophy Exeter City - Swindon Town
Result
2:1
03/09/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Martin R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
1411
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
53
Blocked Shots
44
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Fouls
139
Yellow Cards
03
Attacks
97115
Dangerous Attacks
4327

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Kilkenny G. , Clarke O. ,
  • 46', Watts C. , Richards J. ,
  • 56', Doyle K. , Cox S. ,
  • 60', Tshimanga K. , Smith H. ,
  • 60', Freckleton M. , Delaney R. ,
  • 60', Butterworth D. , King J. ,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Francis E. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Cotterill J. ,
  • 71', Minturn H. 🟨,
  • 74', Alli M. , Bird J. ,
  • 74', Drinan A. , Glatzel P. ,
  • 78', Smith H. 🟨,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Aitchison J. , Sweeney P. (A),
  • 87', James E. , Cayless L. ,
  • 90+2', Delaney R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Exeter City
61.9%
Draw
21.6%
Swindon Town
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 25.5% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 23.6% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Exeter City's performance.
  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Exeter City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Exeter City - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.74)
    4.29
    (3.6)
    5.56
    (4.26)
    8.5%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Exeter City - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: Exeter City will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 4.
    • Recent matches Exeter is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Swindon is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Exeter is a favorite.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Exeter won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-13.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Swindon Town were as follows:
    21.11.2023 Swindon Town - Exeter City 0:1
    Latest results of Exeter City
    Latest results of Swindon Town
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