Exeter City vs Rotherham United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 30
  • Referee: Howard P. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.091.56
Ball possession
65%35%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
27
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
45
Passes
85% (438/515)71% (191/270)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
1.091.56
xG on target (xGOT)
0.383.44
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
99
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1717
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
616
Passes
85% (438/515)71% (191/270)
Long passes
40% (22/55)44% (31/70)
Passes in final third
64% (90/141)55% (48/88)
Crosses
20% (3/15)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.94
Throw ins
2226
Fouls
166
Tackles
70% (7/10)84% (16/19)
Duels won
4059
Clearances
2334
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
3.440.38
Goals prevented
-0.560.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', Brierley E. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Baptiste J. , Powell J. (A),
  • 40', Gore D. , Adegboyega E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 57', Oakes L. , Higgins A. ,
  • 57', Mendes C. , Tuterov T. ,
  • 57', Cole R. , Aitchison J. ,
  • 71', 0 - 2, Rafferty J. , Nombe S. (A),
  • 72', 0 - 3, Gray H. , McWilliams S. (A),
  • 74', Spence K. , Yearwood D. ,
  • 74', Wareham J. , Magennis J. ,
  • 75', Sweeney P. , Cox S. ,
  • 75', 0 - 4, McWilliams S. , Nombe S. (A),
  • 77', Nombe S. , Martha A. ,
  • 83', Magennis J. 🟨,
  • 86', Niskanen I. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Martha A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Exeter City
46.2%
Draw
28.3%
Rotherham United
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 28.6% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 27.5% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Exeter City - Rotherham United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.96)
    3.29
    (3.22)
    3.7
    (3.75)
    6.5%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Exeter City - Rotherham United?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Rotherham will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 60.6%97.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Exeter City will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Recent performances by Exeter have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Rotherham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Exeter has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Exeter is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D. (Inactive) Borges P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rotherham: Benson J. (Injury) Douglas H. (Inactive) Hall D. (Inactive) Hatton B. (Inactive) Kayode J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Rydel R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Rotherham United were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Rotherham United - Exeter City 1:0
    15.03.2025 Rotherham United - Exeter City 1:1
    10.08.2024 Exeter City - Rotherham United 1:0
    Latest results of Exeter City
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two