Lorient vs Metz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:1
04/01/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 17
  • Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoFOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5, Arena Sport 6
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.45
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
84% (367/435)90% (523/582)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.370.58
Total shots
168
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
89
Passes
84% (367/435)90% (523/582)
Long passes
53% (25/47)62% (37/60)
Passes in final third
64% (65/101)86% (76/88)
Crosses
21% (3/14)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.48
Throw-ins
1019
Fouls
98
Tackles
80% (12/15)27% (3/11)
Duels won
3533
Clearances
1624
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.581.37
Goals prevented
-0.420.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Sane S. ⚽, Hein G. (A),
  • 45+1', Sane I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Deminguet J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
  • 60', Makengo J. ↓, Dieng B. ↑,
  • 60', Soumano S. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
  • 63', Bamba M. 🟨,
  • 69', Kouao K. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Dieng B. ⚽, Bamba M. (A),
  • 74', Abergel L. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
  • 79', Sane I. ↓, Asoro J. ↑,
  • 84', Traore B. ↓, Stambouli B. ↑,
  • 84', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3fyfhp8s

Chances of winning


Lorient
52.3%		Draw
25.9%		Metz
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 24.5% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 24.1% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
    •

    Lorient - Metz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.81 ↑
    (1.74)    		 3.67 ↓
    (3.85)    		 4.36 ↓
    (4.44)    		 5.3%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Lorient - Metz?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 31 - 75.6%). Metz will win (votes: 7 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 62.5% – 88.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Lorient (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Metz (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 2.
    • Lorient is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Metz has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Lorient is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Avom A. (International duty) Faye A. (Foot Injury) Katseris P. (Thigh Injury) Kouassi A. (International duty) Talbi M. (International duty) Tosin A. (International duty) Toure I. (Knee Injury) Yongwa D. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Metz: Diallo H. (International duty) Gbamin J. (International duty) Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Mboula U. (Muscle Injury) Sabaly C. (International duty) Sy P. (Concussion)
    • There are questionable in Metz: Yegbe T. (Ankle Injury)
    • We predict that Lorient will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Metz were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Lorient - Metz 0:0
    21.09.2024 Metz - Lorient 1:1
    04.02.2024 Metz - Lorient 1:2
    26.11.2023 Lorient - Metz 2:3
    Latest results of Lorient
    20.12.2025 Le Gosier - Lorient 0:7 ✺
    14.12.2025 Strasbourg - Lorient 0:0 ✺
    07.12.2025 Lorient - Lyon 1:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 Lorient - Nice 3:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Nantes - Lorient 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Metz
    20.12.2025 Biesheim - Metz 0:3
    13.12.2025 Metz - Paris Saint-Germain 2:3 ✺
    07.12.2025 Auxerre - Metz 3:1 ✺
    28.11.2025 Metz - Rennes 0:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Brest - Metz 3:2 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG26193458:223660
    2Lens27192654:243059
    3Marseille27154854:351949
    4Lyon27145841:291247
    5Lille27145842:34847
    6Monaco27144947:38946
    7Rennes27128743:37644
    8Strasbourg27117943:331040
    9Toulouse271071038:32637
    10Lorient27910837:41-437
    11Brest271061134:39-536
    12Angers27951324:37-1332
    13Paris FC277101032:43-1131
    14Le Havre27691222:35-1327
    15Nice27761432:52-2027
    16Auxerre27571522:36-1422
    17Nantes26451724:45-2117
    18Metz27351925:60-3514

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