Result
2:3
26/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 31
- Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One, FOX Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (278/335) | 90% (474/529) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 1.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (278/335) | 90% (474/529) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (29/48) | 60% (18/30) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (44/69) | 76% (116/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.48 | 2.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', Hogsberg L. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Cadiou N. ⚽, Katseris P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 54', 2 - 0, Pagis P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 62', 2 - 1, Nanasi S. ⚽, Luis R. (A),
- 65', O'Neil G. 🟨,
- 65', Doukoure I. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
- 67', El Mourabet S. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
- 67', Enciso J. ↓, Godo M. ↑,
- 69', Dieng B. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
- 70', Abergel L. ↓, Avom A. ↑,
- 71', Katseris P. 🟨,
- 73', Oyedele M. 🟨,
- 76', Mwanga J. ↓, Moreira D. ↑,
- 82', Makengo J. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
- 82', Pagis P. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
- 85', Yassine G. ↓, Emegha E. ↑,
- 86', Katseris P. ↓, Igor Silva ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Adjei N. (Own goal),
- 90+9', 2 - 3, Omobamidele A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lorient
43.4% | Draw
26.5% | Strasbourg
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorient's performance.Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Strasbourg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorient that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Strasbourg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lorient - Strasbourg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.84) |
3.6 ↑
(3.43) |
3.17 ↑
(2.41) |
4.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lorient - Strasbourg?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lorient will win
(40 of 49 users predict this - 81.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.79% – 92.47%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lorient will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Lorient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Strasbourg has had a series of home games.
- Lorient will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lorient: Le Bris T.
(Knee Injury)
Talbi M.
(Calf Injury)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Anselmino A.
(Inactive)
Panichelli J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Strasbourg: Barco V.
(Leg Injury)
Doue G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Strasbourg?
Lorient has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Lorient?
Strasbourg has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Strasbourg were as follows:
14.12.2025
Strasbourg
-
Lorient
0:0
18.02.2024
Strasbourg
-
Lorient
1:3
17.12.2023
Lorient
-
Strasbourg
1:2
03.06.2023
Lorient
-
Strasbourg
2:1
13.11.2022
Strasbourg
-
Lorient
1:1
Latest results of Lorient
Latest results of Strasbourg
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70:27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61:33 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 58 |
| 4 | Lyon | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 48:32 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 56 |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59:44 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 49:39 | 10 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44:49 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43:44 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Brest | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 40:47 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36:58 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29:51 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32:72 | -40 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
