Result
2:5
13/02/2026 at 08:55 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | JACO Middle East |
Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT |
China | QQ Sports |
Hong-kong | on.cc |
Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 3.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (306/356) | 83% (216/259) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 3.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 4.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (306/356) | 83% (216/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (24/42) | 64% (25/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (75/100) | 63% (50/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/14) | 53% (8/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.74 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 4)
- 6', 0 - 1, Hamidou R. ⚽,
- 20', 0 - 2, Kessie F. ⚽, Mahrez R. (A),
- 25', 0 - 3, Mahrez R. ⚽, Al Hawsawi Z. (A),
- 33', 1 - 3, Carrasco Y. ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 4, Millot E. ⚽, Toney I. (A),
- 39', Millot E. 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 4, Carrasco Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Al Sibyani H. K. A. ↓, Balobaid S. ↑,
- 46', Al Shwirekh M. ↓, Hamdallah A. ↑,
- 46', Camara H. ↓, Adli Y. ↑,
- 65', Brownhill J. ↓, Al Hammami H. ↑,
- 65', Millot E. ↓, Al Johani Z. ↑,
- 78', Mahrez R. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
- 78', Galeno ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
- 82', Al Asmari A. ↓, Azaizeh A. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 5, Toney I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 87', Kessie F. ↓, Al Muwallad E. ↑,
- 87', Al Hawsawi Z. ↓, Madani Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Shabab Riyadh 18.8% | Draw 24.1% | Al-Ahli Jeddah 57.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.99 ↓ (5.04) |
3.89 ↓ (4.08) |
1.6 ↑ (1.54) |
8.1% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al-Shabab will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 1.
- In recent matches, Al-Shabab has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al-Ahli is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Shabab may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Al-Shabab has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Al-Ahli is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:35. (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Shabab Riyadh has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:
17.10.2025
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
1:1
11.05.2025
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3:1
10.01.2025
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
3:2
11.05.2024
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1:2
25.11.2023
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
0:0
Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ahli SC | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 46:15 | 31 | 59 |
| 2 | Al Nassr | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 62:18 | 44 | 58 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 54:21 | 33 | 53 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 39 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 34:39 | -5 | 38 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Fateh | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 27 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 |
| 13 | Al Hazem | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:43 | -20 | 25 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 30:41 | -11 | 22 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22:45 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 | Damac | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 10 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 21:51 | -30 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1