Result
0:3
24/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Startimes Sports Life |
 Asia | JACO Middle East, SPOTV Asia |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | BandSports |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV, Vidio |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mongolia | SPOTV |
 Philippines | SPOTV |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
 South-korea | SPOTV |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 Vietnam | SPOTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 2.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (274/324) | 79% (233/295) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 2.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 3.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (274/324) | 79% (233/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (21/41) | 59% (23/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (35/50) | 64% (64/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 40% (8/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.52 | 0.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Zeze N. 🟨,
- 45+1', Kessie F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 55', 0 - 1, Toney I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', Al Dawsari K. 🟥,
- 64', 0 - 2, Mahrez R. ⚽, Toney I. (A),
- 67', 0 - 3, Millot E. ⚽, Kessie F. (A),
- 68', Al Faraj S. 🟨,
- 72', Lacazette A. ↓, Benrahma S. ↑,
- 72', Al Faraj S. ↓, Hejji A. ↑,
- 72', Millot E. ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
- 73', Toney I. ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
- 80', Al Burayk M. ↓, Hawsawi I. ↑,
- 81', Bouabre S. ↓, Noor A. ↑,
- 81', Hegazy A. ↓, Al Saluli A. ↑,
- 82', Al Hawsawi Z. 🟨,
- 83', Al Hawsawi Z. ↓, Sulaiman M. ↑,
- 84', Galeno ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
- 89', Majrashi A. 🟨,
- 90', Kessie F. ↓, Al Muwallad E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Neom
20.8% | Draw
23.7% | Al-Ahli Jeddah
55.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neom's form might have worsened.Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ahli Jeddah's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neom than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neom, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ahli Jeddah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Neom - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.52 ↑
(3.22) |
3.94 ↑
(3.68) |
1.68 ↓
(2.05) |
6.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Neom - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Al-Ahli (1.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.75 - Al-Ahli (1.85) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.25 - Al-Ahli (1.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Al-Ahli (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Al-Ahli Jeddah will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 16 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- Neom is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Ahli is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Al-Ahli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al-Ahli is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neom won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Neom won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Neom has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Neom?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neom - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:
28.08.2025
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Neom
1:0
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 29 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 76:25 | 51 | 71 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 49:48 | 1 | 34 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:49 | -13 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 27:47 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
