Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio Buse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Premier Sport 2
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceEurosport 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
portugalPortugalSport TV7
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Tennis
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
25
Double Faults
03
1st serve percentage
61%62%
1st serve points won
85% (23/27)61% (20/33)
2nd serve points won
65% (11/17)40% (8/20)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)50% (4/8)
1st return points won
42% (14/33)22% (6/27)
2nd return points won
60% (12/20)35% (6/17)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)50% (1/2)
Winners
1718
Unforced errors
1222
Net points won
80% (8/10)57% (8/14)
Service Points Won
77% (33/43)53% (29/55)
Return Points Won
47% (26/55)23% (10/43)
Total Points Won
60% (59/98)40% (39/98)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
03
Service games won
89% (8/9)56% (5/9)
Return games won
44% (4/9)11% (1/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Tabilo
57.7%
Ignacio Buse
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Alejandro Tabilo - Ignacio Buse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.61)

    2.24
    (2.32)
    4.9%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Tabilo - Ignacio Buse?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Tabilo (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Alejandro Tabilo will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alejandro Tabilo will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Buse (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tabilo is ranked ATP: 68. Buse is ranked ATP: 91.
    • Tabilo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Buse's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Buse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tabilo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tabilo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Tabilo - Ignacio Buse were as follows:
    04.02.2024 Alejandro Tabilo - Ignacio Buse 2:1
    22.11.2023 Alejandro Tabilo - Ignacio Buse 2:0
    Latest results of Ignacio Buse
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Garin C.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Nava E.2 : 0
    4Prizmic D. (Q)Passaro F. (LL)0 : 2
    5Fonseca J. (3)Monteiro T. (Q)2 : 0
    6Marcondes I. (Q)Buse I.1 : 2
    7Barrios Vera T. (LL)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    8Lajovic D. (LL)Altmaier D. (7)2 : 0
    9Etcheverry T. M. (8)Comesana F.2 : 1
    10Miguel L. (WC)Gaubas V. (Q)1 : 2
    11Dzumhur D.Martinez P.2 : 1
    12Faria J. (LL)Baez S. (4)2 : 0
    13Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    14Heide G. (WC)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    15Hanfmann Y.Reis Da Silva J. (WC)2 : 0
    16Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (RET.) (1)Tirante T. A.0 : 1
    2Tabilo A.Passaro F.2 : 1
    3Fonseca J. (3)Buse I.1 : 2
    4Berrettini M.Lajovic D.2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (8)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    6Dzumhur D.Faria J.0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A.Kopriva V.0 : 2
    8Hanfmann Y.Cerundolo J. M.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tirante T. A.Tabilo A.1 : 2
    2Buse I.Berrettini M.2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M. (8)Faria J.2 : 0
    4Kopriva V.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Tabilo A.Buse I.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M. (8)Kopriva V.2 : 1

    Final
    1Tabilo A.Etcheverry T. M. (8)1 : 2