Result
2:2
19/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 23
- Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (425/489) | 85% (367/433) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (425/489) | 85% (367/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (25/51) | 54% (29/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (48/72) | 75% (98/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 13% (3/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 45% (9/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 24', 0 - 1, Cooper-Love J. ⚽, Griffith I. (A),
- 33', 1 - 1, Peters T. ⚽, van der Lans M. (A),
- 35', 1 - 2, van den Hurk A. ⚽, Griffith I. (A),
- 40', Butera E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Butera E. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
- 55', 2 - 2, Chourak N. ⚽, Johnson J. (A),
- 66', van den Hurk A. ↓, Deom J. ↑,
- 73', Muzungu M. ↓, van de Pavert R. ↑,
- 73', Takidine I. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
- 74', Nash P. ↓, Ibrahimovic M. ↑,
- 74', van der Lans M. ↓, Abdella M. ↑,
- 81', Ibrahimovic M. 🟨,
- 86', Chourak N. ↓, Wolff K. ↑,
- 86', Nisbet J. 🟨,
- 90', Jansen K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jong Ajax
26.9% | Draw
24.7% | Roda
48.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Jong Ajax - Roda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.44 ↓
(3.49) |
3.75 ↑
(3.73) |
1.92 ↑
(1.86) |
7.7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Roda?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Roda will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong Ajax: 28.1% – 78.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong Ajax (votes: 2 - 40%). Roda (votes: 3 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Jong Ajax (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong Ajax (votes: 3 - 50%). Roda (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Roda could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Roda: Kother T.
(Knee Injury)
Paulissen M.
(Knee Injury)
Schwirten J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 2.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Roda?
Jong Ajax has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against Jong Ajax?
Roda has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Roda were as follows:
12.09.2025
Roda
-
Jong Ajax
3:3
23.12.2024
Jong Ajax
-
Roda
3:1
25.10.2024
Roda
-
Jong Ajax
2:1
26.04.2024
Jong Ajax
-
Roda
1:1
27.10.2023
Roda
-
Jong Ajax
2:1
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
