Result
2:0
24/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 38
- Referee: Perez M. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.68 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (400/458) | 78% (236/304) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.68 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.55 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 65 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (400/458) | 78% (236/304) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (46/64) | 39% (18/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (146/190) | 65% (54/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.93 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 3.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, de Wit H. ⚽,
- 43', Menu M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Cooper-Love J. ↓, Wiedesheim-Paul R. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 0, Kovacs B. ⚽,
- 62', Seedorf C. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
- 62', Deom J. ↓, Crabu N. ↑,
- 62', Kovacs B. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
- 62', Smits A. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
- 62', Inge K. ↓, Esajas J. ↑,
- 67', Kalinauskas T. ↓, Takidine I. ↑,
- 76', Leijten R. ↓, Janssen F. ↑,
- 82', de Wit H. ↓, Budko B. ↑,
- 87', Twisk N. ↓, Sijbrands J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong AZ Alkmaar
38.2% | Draw
25% | Roda
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong AZ Alkmaar's performance.Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jong AZ Alkmaar - Roda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(2.91) |
3.75 ↓
(3.76) |
2.56 ↑
(2.17) |
6.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - Roda?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Roda will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong AZ: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- Roda is Qualified for Eredivisie (Promotion )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Roda: Kother T.
(Knee Injury)
Schwirten J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Roda?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Roda has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - Roda were as follows:
05.12.2025
Roda
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:3
07.02.2025
Roda
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
3:3
12.08.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Roda
6:1
05.02.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Roda
1:0
06.10.2023
Roda
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
3:1
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
