Result
3:1
29/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 15
- Referee: Hameter M. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 Israel | 5 GOLD Israel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (182/319) | 63% (263/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (182/319) | 63% (263/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (19/79) | 26% (23/90) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 39% (34/87) | 50% (76/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | -1.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Satin M. ⚽, Maderner D. (A),
- 11', Reiter D. 🟨,
- 31', Kreuzriegler M. 🟨,
- 44', Moormann M. 🟨,
- 45', Satin M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Kreuzriegler M. ↓, Oberleitner Y. ↑,
- 60', Harakate R. 🟨,
- 64', Reiter D. ↓, Wahling O. ↑,
- 72', Ronivaldo ↓, Maier N. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 0, Harakate R. ⚽,
- 77', Satin M. ↓, Lichtenberger C. ↑,
- 83', Maderner D. ↓, Hofleitner A. ↑,
- 83', Schriebl T. ↓, Frieser D. ↑,
- 83', Pirkl S. ↓, Bumberger D. ↑,
- 83', Cvetko C. ↓, Huskovic M. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Moormann M. ⚽, Bumberger D. (A),
- 90+2', Maranda M. 🟨,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Hofleitner A. (Pen),
- 90+4', Harakate R. ↓, Graf L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Grazer AK
36% | Draw
32.3% | Blau-Weiss Linz
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grazer AK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Blau-Weiss Linz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blau-Weiss Linz than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Grazer AK - Blau-Weiss Linz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.57) |
2.94 ↓
(3.18) |
3.01 ↑
(2.69) |
4.7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Grazer AK - Blau-Weiss Linz?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Grazer will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grazer: 54% – 99.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - BW Linz (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grazer AK will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Grazer (votes: 4 - 66.7%). BW Linz (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 1.
- Grazer has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- BW Linz is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Grazer has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Grazer: Italiano J.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in BW Linz: Anderson
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Grazer: Hofleitner A.
(Injury)
Jano Z.
(Injury)
Koch T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in BW Linz: Goiginger T.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grazer won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Grazer AK won against Blau-Weiss Linz?
Grazer AK has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Blau-Weiss Linz won against Grazer AK?
Blau-Weiss Linz has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grazer AK - Blau-Weiss Linz were as follows:
13.09.2025
Blau-Weiss Linz
-
Grazer AK
3:0
24.11.2024
Blau-Weiss Linz
-
Grazer AK
1:2
17.08.2024
Grazer AK
-
Blau-Weiss Linz
2:2
Latest results of Grazer AK
Latest results of Blau-Weiss Linz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg ✔ | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | LASK | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | Austria Vienna | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 32 |
| 5 | Hartberg | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | SK Rapid | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 29 |
| 7 | Altach | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 28 |
| 8 | Ried | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 28 |
| 9 | Wolfsberger AC | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 25 |
| 10 | Tirol | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 26:28 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Grazer AK ✔ | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 20:33 | -13 | 17 |
| 12 | BW Linz ✔ | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 17:32 | -15 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Salzburg is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Grazer AK is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
BW Linz is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
