Result
2:1
21/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Relegation Group - Round 28
- Referee: Pfister D. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (294/376) | 75% (279/373) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (294/376) | 75% (279/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (28/64) | 43% (26/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (95/143) | 59% (44/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 2.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | 0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', Koch T. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Bajic A. ⚽, Leitner A. (A),
- 35', 2 - 0, Mutandwa K. ⚽, Bajic A. (A),
- 38', Klassen L. 🟨,
- 38', Olesen M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Pines D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vraa-Jensen L. ↓, Kreuzriegler M. ↑,
- 46', Bagrationi M. ↓, Frieser D. ↑,
- 46', Lichtenberger C. ↓, Satin M. ↑,
- 62', Hofleitner A. ↓, Grosse M. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Grosse M. ⚽, Frieser D. (A),
- 72', Nasrawe J. ↓, Mayer J. ↑,
- 72', Bajlicz N. ↓, Rasner M. ↑,
- 75', Koch T. ↓, Paumgartner T. ↑,
- 78', van Wyk A. ↓, Aisowieren E. E. ↑,
- 83', Bajic A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Rasner M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ried
46.9% | Draw
29.3% | Grazer AK
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Grazer AK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ried than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Ried - Grazer AK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.1) |
3.23 ↑
(3.1) |
3.9 ↑
(3.4) |
5.5%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ried - Grazer AK?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Ried will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Grazer will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ried: 13.8% – 69.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ried won 0.
- Ried has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Grazer is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ried might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ried won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ried won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ried won against Grazer AK?
Ried has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grazer AK won against Ried?
Grazer AK has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ried - Grazer AK were as follows:
17.04.2026
Grazer AK
-
Ried
1:1
01.03.2026
Grazer AK
-
Ried
2:1
27.09.2025
Ried
-
Grazer AK
0:0
29.03.2024
Ried
-
Grazer AK
0:1
01.09.2023
Grazer AK
-
Ried
1:0
Latest results of Grazer AK
Austrian Bundesliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 45:33 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | LASK | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 48:40 | 8 | 30 |
| 3 | Salzburg | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 54:36 | 18 | 29 |
| 4 | SK Rapid | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 35:34 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 26 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 35:35 | 0 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
