Result
1:0
06/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (490/553) | 70% (160/227) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (490/553) | 70% (160/227) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (30/47) | 47% (23/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (119/147) | 59% (38/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 57% (16/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Whyte G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Thomas J. ↓, Olayinka J. ↑,
- 46', Whyte G. ↓, Akinyemi D. ↑,
- 59', Cleary D. ↓, Grace L. ↑,
- 68', Cotter B. ↓, Barr C. ↑,
- 68', Clarke J. ↓, Rylah H. ↑,
- 69', McClean P. 🟨,
- 71', Ozhianvuna V. ↓, Watts D. ↑,
- 71', Sobowale T. ↓, Mulraney J. ↑,
- 71', Noonan M. ↓, McGovern J. ↑,
- 74', Doherty B. 🟨,
- 78', Burke G. ↓, Greene A. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 0, Watts D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 83', McClean J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shamrock Rovers
45.4% | Draw
27.9% | Derry City
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Shamrock Rovers - Derry City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07
(2.07) |
3.35 ↑
(3.31) |
3.49 ↓
(3.65) |
6.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers - Derry City?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Shamrock will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Derry will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shamrock: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Shamrock (votes: 2 - 40%). Derry (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Shamrock (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Derry (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Shamrock (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Derry (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 2.
- Shamrock has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Derry is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Derry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- Shamrock might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Shamrock: Gaffney R.
(Ankle Injury)
Kovalevskis M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Derry: Boyce L.
(Inactive)
Maher B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Derry: Dummigan C.
(Inactive)
Markey D.
(Inactive)
Winchester C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shamrock won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Shamrock Rovers won against Derry City?
Shamrock Rovers has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Shamrock Rovers?
Derry City has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shamrock Rovers - Derry City were as follows:
31.01.2026
Shamrock Rovers
-
Derry City
0:1
26.10.2025
Derry City
-
Shamrock Rovers
2:1
03.08.2025
Shamrock Rovers
-
Derry City
2:0
23.05.2025
Derry City
-
Shamrock Rovers
1:2
28.03.2025
Shamrock Rovers
-
Derry City
0:0
Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
Latest results of Derry City
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bohemians | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Derry City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | Galway | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Drogheda | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
| 10 | Waterford | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:17 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
